Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics
Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor play Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Navbahor: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.27 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 45%, Termez Surkhon 55%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 36%, Termez Surkhon 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.20. Navbahor: 13.6 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 11.2.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.45. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (4 goals). Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Navbahor holds a clear advantage in chance creation — home xG 1.72 with 5 shots on target and 16.5 shots per game versus away xG 1.12, 2.67 shots on target and 10 shots for Termez Surkhon. The hosts also dominate possession (67% vs 51%) and show slightly better recent form over the last 5 matches: Navbahor 3 wins and 2 losses with 1.8 points per game, Termez Surkhon 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with 1.6 pts/game. Defensively Navbahor are stronger at home — conceding 1.00 goals per game with an xG against of 0.68, while Termez Surkhon concede 1.33 on the road with xG against 1.40. Risks for the hosts include a high share of home matches without scoring (FTS 50%) and no clean sheets at home (CS 0%), whereas the visitors have never failed to score away (FTS 0%) and have 33% clean sheets on the road. Considering the superior xG 1.72 vs 1.12, the edge in shots on target 5 vs 2.67 and possession control 67% vs 51%, I expect a home win; probabilities estimated at 60% Navbahor, 25% draw and 15% Termez Surkhon.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Navbahor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Navbahor · 0.8 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Navbahor · 1 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Navbahor is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Navbahor · 1.64 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Navbahor scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Termez Surkhon scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Navbahor
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Navbahor · 0.91 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
Termez Surkhon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.55 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Navbahor 0 - 1 - 1 Termez Surkhon. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 2:0 Termez Surkhon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Termez Surkhon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 0, Termez Surkhon won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon?
Navbahor score 1.27 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 1.00. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Navbahor's matches and 55% of Termez Surkhon's.
What form are Navbahor and Termez Surkhon in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Navbahor vs Termez Surkhon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.