NEC vs UPDF: match statistics
NEC demonstrates significantly better form and statistics both in the context of the entire season and recent matches. The hosts have won 2 of their last 5 matches with only 1 defeat, whereas UPDF has not recorded a single victory during this period, losing as many as 4 times. Efficiency is also key – NEC averages 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors score just 0.89 goals away and have failed to find the net in their last 5 matches. UPDF's away goal difference stands at -10, and their loss percentage reaches 67%, which, combined with 65% possession, indicates low effectiveness. Additionally, NEC maintains 38% clean sheets at home, which, when set against the visitors' offensive struggles, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All these factors point to a probable victory for NEC in this fixture.
NEC vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NEC played against UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
NEC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. UPDF has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
NEC scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.94. UPDF scores 0.71 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of NEC's games and 35% of UPDF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 41%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
UPDF has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.49 per game. NEC takes 9.0 shots per game, while UPDF takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
NEC leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. UPDF leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For UPDF, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NEC demonstrates significantly better form and statistics both in the context of the entire season and recent matches. The hosts have won 2 of their last 5 matches with only 1 defeat, whereas UPDF has not recorded a single victory during this period, losing as many as 4 times. Efficiency is also key – NEC averages 1.38 goals per match at home, while the visitors score just 0.89 goals away and have failed to find the net in their last 5 matches. UPDF's away goal difference stands at -10, and their loss percentage reaches 67%, which, combined with 65% possession, indicates low effectiveness. Additionally, NEC maintains 38% clean sheets at home, which, when set against the visitors' offensive struggles, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All these factors point to a probable victory for NEC in this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - NEC · 0.2 pts / game - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - NEC · 0.71 goals / game - UPDF
NEC is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - NEC · 1.47 goals / game - UPDF
NEC scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 games).
UPDF scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 124% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / game - NEC · 0.71 pts / game - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NEC
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.15 | • 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 36% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from NEC's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against UPDF. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 1:0 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs UPDF?
NEC score 1.06 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.71. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 59% of NEC's matches and 35% of UPDF's.
What form are NEC and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs UPDF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.