Neftchi vs Nasaf: match statistics
Neftchi vs Nasaf: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi play Nasaf in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nasaf: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.25 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Nasaf scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 25%, Nasaf 58%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 67%, Nasaf 33%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.36. Neftchi: 15.9 shots per match, Nasaf: 11.8.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.25. Nasaf: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (7 goals). Nasaf: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win. Neftchi score on average 2.25 goals per home match from 14 shots and 4.25 shots on target (conversion 16%), have 17 goals this season and 6 wins, while Nasaf have 7 goals and 3 wins. In the last 5 matches Neftchi won 4 of 5 and average 2.4 points per game in that period, whereas Nasaf have only 1 win and average 1.2 points, showing clear form advantage for the hosts. Defensively Neftchi concede 0.5 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while Nasaf concede 0.67 goals away and have 33% clean sheets; additionally Nasaf allow higher expected goals against (xG against 1.49 vs 0.95 for Neftchi). Higher home expected goals (xG 1.57 vs 1.33), better conversion (16% vs 11%) and superiority in chances (4.25 vs 3.67 shots on target) lead me to predict a Neftchi victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1 pts / match - Nasaf
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.25 goals / match - Nasaf
Neftchi is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Neftchi · 1 goals / match - Nasaf
Neftchi scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Nasaf scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Neftchi
Over / Under — Nasaf
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Neftchi · 1 pts / match - Nasaf
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Nasaf
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Neftchi 1 - 1 - 0 Nasaf. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Nasaf?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 2:1 Nasaf. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Nasaf?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1, Nasaf won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Nasaf?
Neftchi score 2.25 goals per game on average and Nasaf 1.25. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Neftchi's matches and 58% of Nasaf's.
What form are Neftchi and Nasaf in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nasaf 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Nasaf?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neftchi vs Nasaf: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.