Neftçi vs İnter Bakı: match statistics
Neftçi vs İnter Bakı: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftçi play İnter Bakı in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Neftçi: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. İnter Bakı: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftçi scores 1.73 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. İnter Bakı scores 0.94 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftçi 48%, İnter Bakı 42%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 55%, İnter Bakı 45%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.12. Neftçi: 12.8 shots per match, İnter Bakı: 8.8.
Match halves
Neftçi: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.06. İnter Bakı: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Neftçi: 76-90+ (14 goals). İnter Bakı: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Neftçi has a clear home offensive edge: on average 1.6 goals and xG 1.73 per match with 5.27 shots on target and 13.53 total shots, while İnter Bakı away records only 0.86 goals, xG 1.08 and 2.93 shots on target. In the last 5 fixtures Neftçi scored 9 goals (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and averages 2 points per match, while İnter has 3 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and 1 point per match. Visitors are, however, compact defensively on the road — conceding only 0.71 goals on average and keeping 50% clean sheets, whereas hosts concede 1.2 goals at home and have 33% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring game. Additionally, İnter fail to score in 36% of away matches, and the possession (56% vs 37%) and chance volume gap (13.53 vs 8.57 average shots) favor Neftçi in chance creation (xG 1.73 vs 1.08). Considering the hosts’ superior form and offense (2 points per match vs 1), I forecast a Neftçi win; estimated probabilities: 60% home, 25% draw, 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | İnter Bakı | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 150% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.2 pts / match - İnter Bakı
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.94 goals / match - İnter Bakı
Neftçi is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.21 goals / match - İnter Bakı
Neftçi scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
İnter Bakı scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Neftçi
Over / Under — İnter Bakı
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.12 pts / match - İnter Bakı
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftçi
İnter Bakı
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | İnter Bakı | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Neftçi 0 - 2 - 0 İnter Bakı. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs İnter Bakı?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 3:0 İnter Bakı. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and İnter Bakı?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 0, İnter Bakı won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs İnter Bakı?
Neftçi score 1.73 goals per game on average and İnter Bakı 0.94. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Neftçi's matches and 42% of İnter Bakı's.
What form are Neftçi and İnter Bakı in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and İnter Bakı 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs İnter Bakı?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.