Neftçi vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Neftçi vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftçi played against Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on April 30, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Neftçi has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Qarabağ has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftçi scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.07. Qarabağ scores 2.14 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Neftçi's games and 39% of Qarabağ's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.68 per game. Neftçi takes 13.0 shots per game, while Qarabağ takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftçi leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Qarabağ leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftçi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Qarabağ, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ are the favorites in this fixture: they sit 2nd in the table versus Neftçi in 5th and have 18 wins this season compared to the hosts’ 11, clearly indicating superiority in results. In attack the visitors have scored 60 goals this season versus Neftçi’s 46 and average 2.15 goals per away match against the hosts’ 1.57 at home, while the visitors’ shot conversion rate is 14% versus 11% for their opponents. Defensively Qarabağ also perform better — they have conceded 20 goals this season versus 30 for Neftçi and average 0.85 goals conceded per away match compared to the hosts’ 1.21; in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded only 4 goals while the hosts have conceded 8. Although Neftçi have the better recent form over the last 5 (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 2.00 pts per game) than Qarabağ (2-1-2 and 1.4 pts), the visitors’ advantage in xG (1.98 vs 1.8), possession (64% vs 57%) and a lower percentage of matches without scoring (15% vs 36%) argue in favor of a Qarabağ win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Neftçi · 1.4 pts / game - Qarabağ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Neftçi · 2.14 goals / game - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Neftçi · 0.71 goals / game - Qarabağ
Neftçi scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
Qarabağ scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Neftçi · 1.64 pts / game - Qarabağ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftçi
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Neftçi's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Qarabağ. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 2:1 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Qarabağ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 0, Qarabağ won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Qarabağ?
Neftçi score 1.64 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.14. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Neftçi's matches and 39% of Qarabağ's.
What form are Neftçi and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Qarabağ 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Qarabağ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.