Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Negele Arsi Ketema plays Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game is scheduled for October 26, 2026.
Recent form
Negele Arsi Ketema has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.67 points per game. Adama Kenema has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.33. Adama Kenema scores 0.50 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 1.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's games and 0% of Adama Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 0%, compared with league averages of 32% for BTTS and 11% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Negele Arsi Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.11 to 1.05 per game. Negele Arsi Ketema takes 6.7 shots per game, while Adama Kenema takes 6.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Adama Kenema leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Negele Arsi Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Adama Kenema, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.37 goals. Both teams score in 32% of games, and 11% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Adama Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / game - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 166% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.5 goals / game - Adama Kenema
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 games).
Adama Kenema scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / game - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.67 | 1.37 | ▼ 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Negele Arsi Ketema's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Adama Kenema. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema play?
Negele Arsi Ketema face Adama Kenema on October 26, 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Negele Arsi Ketema won 2, Adama Kenema won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.33 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 11% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 0% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Adama Kenema 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.