Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema play Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 37%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.13. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Negele Arsi Ketema has a clear defensive advantage at home: they concede 0.67 goals per game on average and keep 44% clean sheets, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank concedes 1.28 goals on the road and has only 22% clean sheets. In attack the hosts average 1.00 goal per home match with 6.56 shots and 2.72 on target, whereas the visitors record 0.89 goals away with 5.72 shots and 2.22 on target; xG is 1.09 vs 1.04 in favor of the hosts. The visitors are, however, slightly better in recent form — average points in the last five matches are 1.6 for the visitors (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) vs 1.2 for the hosts (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) — and have scored more goals this season (43 vs 35). Key differences are the home goal difference of +6 for the hosts versus -7 for the visitors away, and home win rate 39% versus visitors’ away win rate 11%. Due to superior defense and favorable home record I favor a home win, but the high draw rates (44% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors away) make a shared point outcome realistic.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Negele Arsi Ketema is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.76 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Negele Arsi Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 2:0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.18. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.