Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 37%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.04. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Negele Arsi Ketema sit 2nd in the table while Hadiya Hosaena are 11th; the hosts have scored 26 goals this season versus the visitors’ 24, giving them positional and offensive edge. In attack the hosts create more chances: on average 2.77 shots on target at home and xG 1.10 with 0.92 goals scored, whereas the visitors away register 1.85 shots on target, xG 0.99 and 0.77 goals per match. Defensively the visitors have the advantage: Hadiya concede only 0.69 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 54% of matches, versus 0.77 conceded by the hosts and 38% clean sheets. In the last 5 rounds the hosts are 1W-3D-1L (4 goals scored, 1.2 points per game) and the visitors 1W-2D-2L (5 goals scored, 1.0 point per game), indicating similar form. Considering the higher league position and superiority in chance creation (2.77 shots on target vs 1.85), I give a slight edge to the hosts and tip them to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Negele Arsi Ketema is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.76 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Negele Arsi Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.