New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
New Mexico United played against Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadion Patriot. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
New Mexico United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Monterey Bay has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
New Mexico United scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.19. Monterey Bay scores 1.07 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of New Mexico United's games and 63% of Monterey Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 52%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New Mexico United has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.28 per game. New Mexico United takes 11.7 shots per game, while Monterey Bay takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
New Mexico United leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Monterey Bay leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
New Mexico United's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Monterey Bay, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New Mexico United sit 5th and have won 57% of their home matches, while 23rd-placed Monterey Bay have lost 71% of their away games. The hosts average 1.64 goals and 4.79 shots on target per match at home, while the visitors score 0.86 goals and register 2.36 shots on target per match on the road. Chance quality also favors New Mexico: their home xG is 1.54, compared with Monterey Bay’s away xG of 1.11, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth 1.83 xG per match. Both teams have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, so recent form gives the hosts no additional edge. Nevertheless, the clear gap between their home and away results, along with the 1.93 goals Monterey Bay concede on average away from home, makes a New Mexico win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 62% and 64% of their matches this season, respectively, with those rates at 60% and 80% over their last five games. New Mexico United have recently averaged 1.6 goals per match, while Monterey Bay have conceded 1.4; additionally, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their matches this season. The visitors’ chances of scoring are boosted by the hosts conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches and allowing opponents chances worth 2.39 xG. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is Monterey Bay’s attack, which averages just 0.86 goals and has failed to score in 36% of matches. However, the consistent pattern of both teams scoring outweighs this concern, making BTTS - Yes the preferred pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 77% of New Mexico United matches and 71% of Monterey Bay matches. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.47 xG, while the visitors allow opponents 1.83 xG and concede an average of 1.93 goals, which bodes well for New Mexico to score. Monterey Bay score only 0.86 goals per match, but New Mexico concede an average of 1.54, so an away goal is also a realistic prospect. The projected total of 2.80 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than Over 2.5, which landed in 54% and 50% of these teams’ matches, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is for New Mexico United to take the lead at the break and hold on to it until full time. The hosts led at half-time in 31% of their matches, while Monterey Bay went into the break trailing in 50%; the visitors concede an average of 0.93 goals in the first half, compared with 0.23 conceded by New Mexico. The hosts’ attacking advantage also supports a home win: their average xG is 1.47, against 1.11 for the visitors, while Monterey Bay concede an average of 1.93 goals per match. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 62% of New Mexico’s matches and 50% of Monterey Bay’s. However, 1/1 has the strongest overall case, although confidence is tempered by the fact that the hosts concede an average of 1.31 goals after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New Mexico United is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.52 goals / game - New Mexico United · 1.07 goals / game - Monterey Bay
New Mexico United is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - New Mexico United · 1.74 goals / game - Monterey Bay
New Mexico United scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 games), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 games).
Monterey Bay scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 games), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New Mexico United
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New Mexico United is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - New Mexico United · 1 pts / game - Monterey Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.70 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from New Mexico United's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Monterey Bay. Games average 3.20 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 3:1 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Monterey Bay?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico United won 3, Monterey Bay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
New Mexico United score 1.52 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 1.07. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of New Mexico United's matches and 63% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are New Mexico United and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Monterey Bay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.