Nice vs Lens: match statistics
Nice vs Lens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice play Lens in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 21:05. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nice: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Lens: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 1.09 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Lens scores 1.94 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 59%, Lens 50%. Over 2.5: Nice 50%, Lens 65%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.25. Nice: 11.2 shots per match, Lens: 16.4.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53. Lens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). Lens: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2) because Lens sit 2nd in the table with 20 wins this season versus Nice’s 7. In their last 5 matches Lens have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 15 goals (3.0 per match) and averaging 2.0 points per match; Nice in that period have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 5 goals (1.0 per match) and 1.2 points per match. Offensively on the road Lens average 1.73 goals and xG 1.6 with a 12% conversion rate and 4.8 shots on target, while Nice at home average 1.2 goals, xG 1.36, 9% conversion and 4.53 shots on target, indicating superior chance quality and finishing for the visitors. Defensively Nice concede 1.73 goals at home and have 57 goals conceded this season, whereas Lens concede 1.4 goals away and 32 overall, so the visitors are more stable at the back; additionally Nice fail to score in 33% of home matches and Lens fail to score in 27% of away matches, which leaves a minimal probability of a goalless outcome. Considering the advantage in results, last-5 form and chance quality (xG and conversion), I assess Lens’s win probability at 65%, draw 20% and Nice win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nice · 1.6 pts / match - Lens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Nice · 1.94 goals / match - Lens
Lens is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Nice · 1.03 goals / match - Lens
Nice scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Lens scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nice
Over / Under — Lens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Nice · 1.47 pts / match - Lens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
Lens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.83 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nice 0 - 0 - 1 Lens. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs Lens?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 1:1 Lens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Lens?
Nice score 1.09 goals per game on average and Lens 1.94. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Nice's matches and 50% of Lens's.
What form are Nice and Lens in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Lens 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Lens?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nice vs Lens: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.