France - Ligue 1Data current as of September 11, 2026

Nice vs Lorient: match statistics

Nice crest
Nice
3 : 3half-time 2:1
Lorient crest
Lorient
150%(2.03)
X30%(3.60)
220%(3.44)

Nice displays solid home form with 36% wins and 36% draws at their stadium, maintaining a zero goal difference in home matches. Lorient, however, exhibits very poor away results - merely 18% wins, failing to score in 64% of matches, and a -10 goal difference on the road. Although the visitors show better recent form over the last five matches overall (2.4 points per game), their away statistics are alarming - averaging only 0.64 goals scored per match away. Nice should leverage their home advantage, though their recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches) warrants caution. Considering all factors, I predict a home victory, but a draw is also a plausible scenario given Nice's tendency to share points at home.

Nice vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nice played against Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 3:3.

Recent form

Nice has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lorient has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nice scores 1.23 goals per game and allows 1.82. Lorient scores 1.32 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Nice's games and 50% of Lorient's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 41%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lorient has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.28 per game. Nice takes 11.7 shots per game, while Lorient takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Nice leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Lorient leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nice's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Lorient, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 1 games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Nice displays solid home form with 36% wins and 36% draws at their stadium, maintaining a zero goal difference in home matches. Lorient, however, exhibits very poor away results - merely 18% wins, failing to score in 64% of matches, and a -10 goal difference on the road. Although the visitors show better recent form over the last five matches overall (2.4 points per game), their away statistics are alarming - averaging only 0.64 goals scored per match away. Nice should leverage their home advantage, though their recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches) warrants caution. Considering all factors, I predict a home victory, but a draw is also a plausible scenario given Nice's tendency to share points at home.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

39Possession (%)61
NiceLorient
8Shots17
NiceLorient
4Shots on target5
NiceLorient
1.02xG1.94
NiceLorient
3Corners7
NiceLorient
31Dangerous attacks72
NiceLorient
15Fouls4
NiceLorient
2Cards3
NiceLorient

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.23Goals scored / game1.32
NiceLorient
1.82Goals allowed / game1.5
NiceLorient
48%Average possession45%
NiceLorient
4.23Shots on target / game3.77
NiceLorient

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.68Shots per game11.5
NiceLorient
4.23Shots on target3.77
NiceLorient
10.5%Shot conversion11.5%
NiceLorient
48%Possession45%
NiceLorient
1.28xG for1.29
NiceLorient
1.69xG against1.33
NiceLorient

Shooting quality

Nice: BalancedLorient: Balanced
NiceLorient
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lorient is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Nice · 2.4 pts / game - Lorient

Nice
LWDDL
Season result split
27% W23% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-11
1.05 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Lorient
WWWLW
Season result split
36% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-7
1.41 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lorient is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.23 goals / game - Nice · 1.32 goals / game - Lorient

Lorient is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.82 goals / game - Nice · 1.5 goals / game - Lorient

Nice scoring profile: very strong

Nice scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).

Lorient scoring profile: very strong

Lorient scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).

27Goals scored (season)29
NiceLorient
40Goals conceded (season)33
NiceLorient
3.05Average goals per game2.82
NiceLorient
7Goals scored (last 5)9
NiceLorient
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
NiceLorient

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal68%
NiceLorient
32%2 goals36%
NiceLorient
14%3 goals23%
NiceLorient
5%4 goals5%
NiceLorient

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal77%
NiceLorient
50%2 goals32%
NiceLorient
23%3 goals18%
NiceLorient
14%4 goals9%
NiceLorient

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time9%
NiceLorient
5%BTTS in both halves5%
NiceLorient
18%Scored in both halves32%
NiceLorient

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
NiceLorient
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
NiceLorient
60%BTTS - last 540%
NiceLorient

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NiceLorient
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
NiceLorient
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
NiceLorient

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
NiceLorient
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
NiceLorient
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
NiceLorient

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lorient is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Nice · 1.64 pts / game - Lorient

Nice - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing
Lorient - half-time state
45% leading27% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.64
NiceLorient
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.55
NiceLorient
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NiceLorient
1.59Average goals (1st half)1.05
NiceLorient
36%Clean sheet before half-time68%
NiceLorient
55%No goal before half-time50%
NiceLorient

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per game (2nd half)1.32
NiceLorient
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
NiceLorient
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)1
NiceLorient
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.77
NiceLorient
36%Clean sheet after half-time36%
NiceLorient
55%No goal after half-time50%
NiceLorient

Nice - second-half results

27% W14% D59% L
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lorient - second-half results

36% W23% D41% L
36
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nice - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lorient - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nice
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Lorient
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
5
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Lorient

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

NiceLigaLorient
Average goals per game 3.052.83 2.82
Both teams scored 64%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%52% 41%
Clean sheets 14%29% 23%
Goal before half-time 82%71% 73%
Goal after half-time 91%78% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NiceYellow cardSofiane Diop
  2. LorientGoalPablo Pagis
  3. LorientSubstitutionOn: Abdoul Bamo MeitéOff: Kan Guy Arsene Kouassi
  4. LorientYellow cardPanos Katseris
  5. NiceSubstitutionOn: Gabin BernardeauOff: Tom Alexis Louchet
  6. NiceYellow cardMelvin Bard
  7. LorientYellow cardMontassar Talbi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jeremy StinatMatches officiated: 14
4.21Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 228%Home wins36%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Nice's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lorient. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Nice vs Lorient?

The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 3:3 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Lorient?

Nice score 1.23 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.32. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Nice's matches and 50% of Lorient's.

What form are Nice and Lorient in?

Over the last 5 games Nice have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lorient 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Lorient?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.