Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of October 28, 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Barau: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Niger Tornadoes vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Niger Tornadoes plays Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for October 30, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.

Recent form

Niger Tornadoes has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Barau has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.80. Barau scores 1.30 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Niger Tornadoes's games and 60% of Barau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 40%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Barau has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.72 per game. Niger Tornadoes takes 9.9 shots per game, while Barau takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Barau leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Niger Tornadoes's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Barau, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Niger TornadoesBarau
0.9Goals scored / game1.3
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.8Goals allowed / game1.1
Niger TornadoesBarau
41%Average possession39%
Niger TornadoesBarau
3.5Shots on target / game4.7
Niger TornadoesBarau

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.9Shots per game9.6
Niger TornadoesBarau
3.5Shots on target4.7
Niger TornadoesBarau
9.1%Shot conversion13.5%
Niger TornadoesBarau
41%Possession39%
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.72xG for1.76
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.34xG against1.09
Niger TornadoesBarau

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedBarau: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesBarau
Accuracy (shots on target)35%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Niger Tornadoes is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 0.6 pts / game - Barau

Niger Tornadoes
LWDWW
Season result split
40% W30% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-3
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Barau
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
30% W50% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barau is 44% better for: goals scored per game.

0.9 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.3 goals / game - Barau

Niger Tornadoes is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.1 goals / game - Barau

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: strong

Niger Tornadoes scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

Barau scoring profile: strong

Barau scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

9Goals scored (season)13
Niger TornadoesBarau
8Goals conceded (season)11
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.7Average goals per game2.4
Niger TornadoesBarau
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Niger TornadoesBarau
2Goals conceded (last 5)9
Niger TornadoesBarau

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
Niger TornadoesBarau
30%2 goals40%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%3 goals20%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesBarau

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal70%
Niger TornadoesBarau
10%2 goals20%
Niger TornadoesBarau
10%3 goals10%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%4 goals10%
Niger TornadoesBarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time10%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Niger TornadoesBarau
20%Scored in both halves30%
Niger TornadoesBarau

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Niger TornadoesBarau
20%BTTS - last 580%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Niger TornadoesBarau
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Niger TornadoesBarau

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Niger TornadoesBarau
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Niger TornadoesBarau
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.6 pts / game - Barau

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Barau - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.6
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.7Average goals (1st half)0.8
Niger TornadoesBarau
60%Clean sheet before half-time70%
Niger TornadoesBarau
80%No goal before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesBarau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per game (2nd half)1.4
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.3Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Niger TornadoesBarau
1Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Niger TornadoesBarau
70%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Niger TornadoesBarau
40%No goal after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Barau - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Barau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.4
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.05
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
173%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaBarau
Average goals per game▼ 1.702.35• 2.40
Both teams scored▼ 40%46%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%41%• 40%
Clean sheets▲ 40%34%▼ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%69%• 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%68%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
0.75
Away goals / game
+113%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defensive advantage
+48%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Niger Tornadoes's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Barau. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do Niger Tornadoes and Barau play?

Niger Tornadoes face Barau on October 30, 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Niger Tornadoes and Barau?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Niger Tornadoes won 1, Barau won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?

Niger Tornadoes score 0.90 goals per game on average and Barau 1.30. The NPFL average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 60% of Barau's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Barau in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Barau 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?

The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.