Estonia - MeistriliigaHiiu staadionData current as of October 22, 2026

Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Nõmme Kalju crest
Nõmme Kalju
1 : 2half-time 0:2
Nõmme United crest
Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nõmme Kalju played against Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on September 8, 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Nõmme Kalju has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Nõmme United has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nõmme Kalju scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 0.92. Nõmme United scores 1.62 and allows 2.35. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Nõmme Kalju's games and 81% of Nõmme United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 88%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.48 per game. Nõmme Kalju takes 15.6 shots per game, while Nõmme United takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme United leads at halftime in 19% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nõmme Kalju's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Nõmme United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Nõmme Kalju sit 3rd, while Nõmme United are only 9th, and the overall season record clearly favors the hosts: 13 wins and 45 goals scored compared with the visitors’ 8 victories and 60 goals conceded. At home, Kalju average 2.23 goals per match and create chances worth 1.93 xG, whereas United concede as many as 2.75 goals away from home, with 2.18 xG allowed. The hosts average 16.38 shots, including 6.23 on target, while the visitors manage just 10 attempts and 3.33 shots on target. Kalju’s defense is not flawless, conceding 1.15 goals per home match, and both teams have won only 2 of their last 5 games, but United have kept no clean sheets away from home. The last five matches also highlight Kalju’s greater attacking potential, with 17 goals scored compared with Nõmme United’s 7, making a home win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Seasonal BTTS indicators are very high: Nõmme Kalju record 85%, while Nõmme United stand at 83%, both clearly above the league average of 59%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.08 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75 goals per match. Kalju score an average of 2.00 goals, compared with 1.33 for United, while their average xG figures are 1.65 and 1.27 respectively, providing a solid basis to expect goals at both ends. The hosts’ recent form lowers confidence, as BTTS landed in only 40% of their last five matches, but United conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 2.48. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for both teams, especially given that 85% of Kalju’s matches and 75% of United’s fixtures featured at least three goals along with BTTS.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Nõmme Kalju matches went over 1.5 goals in 92% of cases, while Nõmme United matches did so in all of their appearances to date. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.08 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75. Kalju are particularly dangerous in their current form: they have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.4 per game, with an xG of 2.12. The 2.5 line is also strongly supported, as it was covered in 92% of matches involving both teams, but Over 1.5 offers the highest probability and the safest edge. The projected 3.60 goals stems from Kalju’s high attacking potential and the visitors’ highly vulnerable defense.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Nõmme Kalju have a clearly stronger first-half profile in their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 60% of games, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.4, while Nõmme United averaged 0.8 goals before half-time. Over the course of the season, the hosts have also created more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with their opponents’ 1.27, and registered 4.92 shots on target per match versus 3.33 for the visitors. Kalju’s advantage should continue after the break, as they score an average of 1.31 goals in the second half, while United concede as many as 1.58. Both defenses are vulnerable to conceding, but Kalju have been significantly more effective recently, averaging 3.4 goals per match compared with Nõmme United’s 1.4. The most likely scenario is therefore that the hosts take the lead at the break and see out the victory. The recommended HT/FT selection is 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
26Shots13
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
9Shots on target9
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
2.92xG2.02
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
5Corners5
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
90Dangerous attacks77
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
16Fouls13
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
2Cards5
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.77Goals scored / game1.62
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.92Goals allowed / game2.35
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
53%Average possession47%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
5.38Shots on target / game4.04
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.58Shots per game11.58
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
5.38Shots on target4.04
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
11.4%Shot conversion14%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
53%Possession47%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.85xG for1.48
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.4xG against2.08
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Shooting quality

Nõmme Kalju: AttackingNõmme United: Counter-attacking
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nõmme Kalju
WWLLL
Season result split
50% W19% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-8
1.69 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Nõmme United
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
31% W4% D65% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-17
0.96 pts / game · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 2.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme Kalju is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.77 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.62 goals / game - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju is 155% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.92 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 2.35 goals / game - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 games), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 26 games).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 games).

46Goals scored (season)42
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
24Goals conceded (season)61
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
2.69Average goals per game3.96
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8Goals scored (last 5)2
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal81%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
42%2 goals38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
23%3 goals19%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
12%4 goals8%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal100%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
19%2 goals65%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8%3 goals38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0%4 goals15%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time35%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
27%Scored in both halves19%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS77%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.85 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 0.88 pts / game - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
50% leading35% draw15% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
19% leading31% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.85Points per game (1st half)0.88
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)1.15
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.77
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
73%Clean sheet before half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
42%No goal before half-time54%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.15
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)1
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)1.19
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.35Average goals (2nd half)2.19
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
54%Clean sheet after half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
46%No goal after half-time46%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

35% W35% D31% L
48
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme United - second-half results

31% W23% D46% L
23
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nõmme Kalju - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Nõmme United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.20
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game1.01.6
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
11
5
16-30
10
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
14
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+80%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.96
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme KaljuLigaNõmme United
Average goals per game▼ 2.693.11▲ 3.96
Both teams scored▼ 54%59%▲ 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 46%65%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▲ 35%22%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 69%75%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%88%▲ 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Nõmme UnitedGoalZakaria Beglarishvili
  2. Nõmme UnitedGoalAdyn TorresAssist: Zakaria Beglarishvili
  3. Nõmme UnitedYellow cardHenri Järvelaid
  4. Nõmme UnitedSubstitutionOn: Mairo MiilOff: Benjamine Chisala
  5. Nõmme KaljuSubstitutionOn: Ibrahim JabirOff: Tiago Azevedo Baptista
  6. Nõmme UnitedSubstitutionOn: Nikita VassiljevOff: Kevin Mätas
  7. Nõmme KaljuSubstitutionOn: Fjodor JekimovOff: Oleksandr Musolitin
  8. Nõmme UnitedYellow cardZakaria Beglarishvili
  9. Nõmme UnitedSubstitutionOn: Dacosta OwusuOff: Adyn Torres
  10. Nõmme UnitedSubstitutionOn: Tristin EvansOff: Henri Järvelaid
  11. Nõmme UnitedYellow cardIvan Krasnov
  12. Nõmme UnitedYellow cardTristin Evans

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Nõmme Kalju's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nõmme United. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?

The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 1:2 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Nõmme United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?

Nõmme Kalju score 1.77 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.62. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 81% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.