Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Nõmme United vs Trans: match statistics

Nõmme United crest
Nõmme United
5 : 1half-time 2:1
Trans crest
Trans

Nõmme United vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nõmme United play Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Trans: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Trans scores 0.75 and concedes 2.35. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Trans 40%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Trans 75%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Trans has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.50. Nõmme United: 11.9 shots per match, Trans: 12.9.

Match halves

Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20. Trans: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.35.

Goals by minute

Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Trans: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I back the home win (1) because Nõmme United holds a clear superiority in quality and volume of chances at home: on average 4.5 goals scored per match, 8 shots on target and a 30% conversion rate. Trans on the road creates very little and finishes poorly — averaging 0.5 goals, 2.5 shots on target per match and roughly 7% efficiency, with 50% of away matches without scoring. The gap in chance quality is confirmed by xG — Nõmme’s home xG is 2.04 versus Trans’s 1.00 xG away, while the hosts concurrently concede on average 2.0 goals per match, pointing to an open, high-scoring game (average 6.5 goals in their home matches). Recent form is mixed: Nõmme averages 0.8 points per match over the last 5, Trans 1.2 points, however Trans have lost all away matches (100% away defeats), whereas the hosts win 50% of home games. Considering the double xG, the 4.5 vs 0.5 difference in average goals and dominance in shots on target 8 vs 2.5, Nõmme United are the clear favorites.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
Nõmme UnitedTrans
16Shots14
Nõmme UnitedTrans
7Shots on target3
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.88xG1.55
Nõmme UnitedTrans
7Corners4
Nõmme UnitedTrans
53Dangerous attacks63
Nõmme UnitedTrans
7Fouls9
Nõmme UnitedTrans
0Cards5
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.95Goals scored / match0.75
Nõmme UnitedTrans
2.3Goals conceded / match2.35
Nõmme UnitedTrans
47%Average possession45%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
4.05Shots on target / match3.7
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.95Shots per match12.95
Nõmme UnitedTrans
4.05Shots on target3.7
Nõmme UnitedTrans
16.3%Shot conversion5.8%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
47%Possession45%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.5xG for1.54
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.98xG against1.73
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingTrans: Balanced
Nõmme UnitedTrans
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme United is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.8 pts / match - Trans

Nõmme United
LWLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Trans
DLLLW
Season result split
20% W5% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-15
0.65 pts / match · goal difference -32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 160% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 0.75 goals / match - Trans

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).

Trans scoring profile: very strong

Trans scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).

39Goals scored (season)15
Nõmme UnitedTrans
46Goals conceded (season)47
Nõmme UnitedTrans
4.25Average goals in match3.1
Nõmme UnitedTrans
10Goals scored (last 5)4
Nõmme UnitedTrans
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nõmme UnitedTrans

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal50%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
50%2 goals15%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
25%3 goals10%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
10%4 goals0%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal85%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
65%2 goals65%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
40%3 goals40%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
10%4 goals15%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time15%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
25%Scored in both halves15%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

BTTS and goal count

85%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS35%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
100%BTTS - last 540%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme United is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.75 pts / match - Trans

Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Trans - half-time state
15% leading30% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.75
Nõmme UnitedTrans
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.15Goals conceded (1st half)1.15
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.55
Nõmme UnitedTrans
20%Clean sheet before half-time35%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
45%No goal before half-time70%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)0.8
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
Nõmme UnitedTrans
1.15Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Nõmme UnitedTrans
2.35Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Nõmme UnitedTrans
25%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Nõmme UnitedTrans
40%No goal after half-time65%
Nõmme UnitedTrans

Nõmme United - second-half results

35% W25% R40% P
20
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Trans - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
7
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Trans
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
4
12
31-45
0
5
46-60
2
6
61-75
5
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
169%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.79
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaTrans
Average goals in match 4.253.11 3.10
Both teams scored 90%58% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 95%66% 75%
Clean sheets 0%23% 15%
Goal before half-time 95%74% 80%
Goal after half-time 95%88% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nõmme United 1 - 0 - 0 Trans. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Nõmme United vs Trans?

The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 5:1 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Trans?

Nõmme United score 1.95 goals per game on average and Trans 0.75. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Nõmme United's matches and 40% of Trans's.

What form are Nõmme United and Trans in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Trans 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Trans?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.