North Texas vs St. Louis City II: match statistics
North Texas vs St. Louis City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
North Texas play St. Louis City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 02:45. Venue: Toyota Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
North Texas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. St. Louis City II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
North Texas scores 1.63 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. St. Louis City II scores 1.61 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: North Texas 50%, St. Louis City II 61%. Over 2.5: North Texas 50%, St. Louis City II 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
St. Louis City II has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.40. North Texas: 11.2 shots per match, St. Louis City II: 13.4.
Match halves
North Texas: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. St. Louis City II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
North Texas: 31-45+ (7 goals). St. Louis City II: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 0-0-4. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 25%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): North Texas averages 2.4 goals per home game with an average xG of 1.66 and has 10 goals in the last 5 matches, while St. Louis City II scores 1.5 goals away and has 6 goals in those five games. On paper St. Louis has a better season record (7 wins and 28 goals vs. 4 wins and 23 goals for North Texas), but that advantage doesn't translate on the road — visitors have a negative away goal differential (-2) and concede 1.75 goals on average. Defensively both teams are vulnerable: North Texas concedes 1.6 at home (xG against 1.78) and has 0% clean sheets, while St. Louis concedes 1.75 away, although they have 25% clean sheets. In attack the hosts have a quality edge — 13.8 average shots and 6 on target per home match with a 17% conversion, versus 12.25 shots and 5.38 on target and 12% conversion for the visitors. Form also favors North Texas: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 (1.6 points per match) vs. 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses for St. Louis (1.0 points per match); in that sequence the hosts scored 10 and conceded 6, while the visitors scored 6 and conceded 9. Considering the higher attacking productivity of the hosts, better recent results and superiority in chance volume, I give North Texas a 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for a St. Louis win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| North Texas | St. Louis City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
North Texas is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - North Texas · 0.2 pts / match - St. Louis City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
North Texas is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - North Texas · 1.67 goals / match - St. Louis City II
North Texas scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while St. Louis City II keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
St. Louis City II scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — North Texas
Over / Under — St. Louis City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
North Texas is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - North Texas · 1.33 pts / match - St. Louis City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Louis City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
North Texas
St. Louis City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| North Texas | Liga | St. Louis City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.24 | • 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 66% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): North Texas 0 - 0 - 4 St. Louis City II. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of North Texas vs St. Louis City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished North Texas 3:0 St. Louis City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between North Texas and St. Louis City II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches North Texas won 0, St. Louis City II won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs St. Louis City II?
North Texas score 1.63 goals per game on average and St. Louis City II 1.61. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of North Texas's matches and 61% of St. Louis City II's.
What form are North Texas and St. Louis City II in?
Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and St. Louis City II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs St. Louis City II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.