Notts County vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Notts County presents decidedly better home form with 65% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +18 in matches as hosts. The team occupies 4th place in the table and has earned 10 points (2 PPG) in the last 5 matches, while Grimsby Town has only 5 points (1 PPG) in the same period. xG statistics clearly favor the hosts – 1.48 xG For against 1.02 xG Against in home matches, testifying to a qualitative advantage. Grimsby has problems with defense on away trips, conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match with a zero goal difference, and their away form (38% wins, 25% losses) does not inspire optimism. Notts County's high efficiency (16% shot conversion) and possession dominance (57%) additionally argue for a home victory, though Grimsby's tendency to draw (38% away) suggests the visitors may put up resistance.
Notts County vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Notts County played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Notts County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Grimsby Town has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Notts County scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 0.97. Grimsby Town scores 1.41 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Notts County's games and 47% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 44%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.32 per game. Notts County takes 11.2 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Notts County leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Notts County's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Notts County presents decidedly better home form with 65% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +18 in matches as hosts. The team occupies 4th place in the table and has earned 10 points (2 PPG) in the last 5 matches, while Grimsby Town has only 5 points (1 PPG) in the same period. xG statistics clearly favor the hosts – 1.48 xG For against 1.02 xG Against in home matches, testifying to a qualitative advantage. Grimsby has problems with defense on away trips, conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match with a zero goal difference, and their away form (38% wins, 25% losses) does not inspire optimism. Notts County's high efficiency (16% shot conversion) and possession dominance (57%) additionally argue for a home victory, though Grimsby's tendency to draw (38% away) suggests the visitors may put up resistance.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Notts County is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Notts County · 1.2 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.58 goals / game - Notts County · 1.41 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Notts County is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Notts County · 1.16 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Notts County scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 meczów).
Grimsby Town scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Notts County
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Notts County · 1.31 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Notts County
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.55 | 2.57 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Notts County's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Grimsby Town. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Grimsby Town?
Notts County score 1.58 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.41. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Notts County's matches and 47% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Notts County and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Grimsby Town 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.