Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novi Pazar played against OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The game was played on August 1, 2026. Venue: Gradski Stadion, Foca. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Novi Pazar has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. OFK Beograd has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 0.50 points per game.
Scoring records
Novi Pazar scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 0.00. OFK Beograd scores 0.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Novi Pazar's games and 0% of OFK Beograd's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 50%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novi Pazar has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.18 per game. Novi Pazar takes 16.5 shots per game, while OFK Beograd takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Novi Pazar leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. OFK Beograd leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novi Pazar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For OFK Beograd, it is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
SuperLiga games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novi Pazar has a clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets at home (1/1), averaging 13 shots and 5 shots on target per match and an average xG of 1.66 translating to 1.0 goal per home game. OFK Beograd performs very poorly away — 0 wins, 0 goals scored away (0.0 goals on average), only 4 shots and 1 shot on target per match and xG 0.53, with 100% of away matches without scoring. Defensively the hosts have a clear edge: Novi Pazar concedes 0 goals per match at home on average, while OFK concedes 4 goals on average away; in the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 5 goals (record 2-2-1), whereas the visitors have 4 goals and only 1 win. Despite lower possession (33% vs 54%), the hosts create significantly more quality chances (5 shots on target vs 1) and have higher shooting efficiency (8% vs 0%), giving them a real offensive advantage. Considering these numbers, I tip a home win, though note that Novi Pazar has conceded 6 goals in the last 5 matches, which leaves some risk from visitors' counterattacks.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Novi Pazar has a clear offensive advantage: 1.82 xG, 14 shots and 7 on target per match on average, while OFK Beograd only posts 0.53 xG, 4 shots and 1 on target; this strongly suggests the hosts will score. OFK’s season-long attack is weak (0.53 xG and 1 on target), although over the last 5 matches it improved to 1.15 xG and 0.8 goals (4 goals in 5), giving them a limited chance to find the net. Novi Pazar’s defense has conceded 1.2 goals on average in the last 5 (6 goals total), and seasonly opponents generate 1.01 xG against them, yet season stats show 0% BTTS for both teams and the league has only 38% of matches with Goal/Goal and 77% of matches ending in a clean sheet, which lowers the probability of both teams scoring. Considering the hosts’ dominance in chance creation (1.82 vs 0.53 xG and 7 vs 1 shots on target), OFK’s limited effectiveness and the league trend toward clean sheets, I back No Goal with a probability of 65% and BTTS - Yes at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates expected goals of 1.71 for Novi Pazar and 0.77 for OFK Beograd, yielding a combined xG = 2.48. Novi Pazar averages 14 shots and 7 shots on target per match versus 4 shots and 1 on target for the visitors; their attacking xG is 1.82 compared to just 0.53 for the visitors, while the away defense concedes on average 1.60 xG. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded 60% of games with over 2.5 goals, and the league average is 2.62 goals per match, so the signal for a goal-heavy game is moderate. Converting the total xG 2.48 into a probability distribution gives roughly 71% chance of Over 1.5, 45% for Over 2.5 and 24% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is therefore a bet on Over 1.5, since the high home xG, an average of 7 shots on target and the resulting 71% probability provide a clear edge, while Over 2.5 remains more balanced (45%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Novi Pazar has a clear offensive edge: xG 1.82 versus 0.53 for OFK Beograd, and on average 14 shots and 7 on target per match compared to 4 shots and 1 on target for the visitors. OFK Beograd concedes an average of 4.0 goals per match this season and as many as 4.0 goals in second halves, which indicates significant defensive vulnerability after the break. At half-time the stats are similar (an average of 0.8 goals at the break for both teams), and the home side have led at the break in 40% of their last five matches versus 20% for the visitors, so a draw at the break is likely. Considering the xG advantage and shot volume (14 vs 4) and the visitors’ tendency to concede after half-time, the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and a Novi Pazar win after 90 minutes. Therefore I assign X/1 the highest probability at 38%, 1/1 I rate at 22%, and the combined chances of a visitor win at around 12%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novi Pazar is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Novi Pazar · 0.5 pts / game - OFK Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novi Pazar scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
OFK Beograd scores in 0% of games (0 of 2 games), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novi Pazar is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Novi Pazar · 1 pts / game - OFK Beograd
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Allows 2.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 0.50 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 0% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novi Pazar's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against OFK Beograd. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 1:4 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 2, OFK Beograd won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar score 0.50 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 0.00. The SuperLiga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Novi Pazar's matches and 0% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and OFK Beograd 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.