Novorizontino vs Náutico: match statistics
Novorizontino vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novorizontino play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novorizontino 47%, Náutico 33%. Over 2.5: Novorizontino 53%, Náutico 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.58. Novorizontino: 14.7 shots per match, Náutico: 16.6.
Match halves
Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05. Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Novorizontino holds a clear advantage in chance quality: home average xG is 1.86 versus Náutico’s 1.59, and shots on target per match are 5.6 compared to 4.17 for the visitors. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and average 2.2 points per match in that period, whereas Náutico has a 3W-2L record and averages 1.8 points despite scoring more goals in that span (11 vs 8). Defensively the home side also looks superior in terms of chance quality – Novorizontino concedes 0.86 xG on average in home games, while Náutico’s opponents generate 1.31 xG on average in away matches; in the last 5 fixtures the hosts conceded 2 goals and the visitors 5. Additionally Novorizontino have not had a goalless home game (0% matches without a goal) and produce more total shots (17.4 vs 15) and shots on target (5.6 vs 4.17), giving them the offensive initiative. Despite Náutico’s better finishing efficiency (11% conversion vs 8% for the hosts) and higher possession (54% vs 51%), the xG balance and form stability point to a Novorizontino win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novorizontino | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novorizontino is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino · 0.2 pts / match - Náutico
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.22 goals / match - Náutico
Novorizontino is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.28 goals / match - Náutico
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novorizontino
Over / Under — Náutico
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino · 0.83 pts / match - Náutico
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novorizontino
Náutico
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Novorizontino | Liga | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Náutico?
The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 2:2 Náutico. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Náutico?
Novorizontino score 1.47 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Novorizontino's matches and 33% of Náutico's.
What form are Novorizontino and Náutico in?
Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Náutico 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Náutico?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.