Brazil - Serie BEstádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de BiasiData current as of October 15, 2026

Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: match statistics

Novorizontino crest
Novorizontino
5 : 1half-time 3:1
Ponte Preta crest
Ponte Preta

Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Novorizontino played against Ponte Preta in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Final score: 5:1.

Recent form

Novorizontino has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ponte Preta has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Novorizontino scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 0.84. Ponte Preta scores 0.53 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Novorizontino's games and 38% of Ponte Preta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 41%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Novorizontino has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.11 per game. Novorizontino takes 16.1 shots per game, while Ponte Preta takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Novorizontino leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.97 goals per game after halftime. Ponte Preta leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.16 after halftime.

When the teams score

Novorizontino's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Ponte Preta, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Novorizontino are 4th in the table and have won 15 matches this season, while bottom-placed Ponte Preta have just 3 wins and 25 defeats. At home, the hosts win 56% of their matches and score an average of 1.63 goals, while the visitors have lost 94% of their away games, conceding an average of 2.69 goals per match. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the xG figures: Novorizontino post 2.04 at home compared with their opponents’ 0.96 xG, while Ponte Preta’s away figures are 0.92 and 2.25. The hosts have conceded just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have conceded 12 and lost 4 of those games. In addition, Ponte Preta have failed to score in 75% of their away matches, which, combined with Novorizontino conceding an average of 0.88 goals at home, strongly points to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest case for BTTS - No is Ponte Preta’s poor finishing: the visitors failed to score in 75% of their away matches, averaging just 0.44 goals per game. They have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches, with an average xG of 0.84, so it is difficult to expect them to regularly exploit even gaps in the hosts’ defense. Novorizontino have recently conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game, although their season average of 1.56 goals conceded at home means the visitors’ chances of scoring cannot be ruled out entirely. The hosts are more likely to find the net: they have averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Ponte Preta conceded an average of 2.4 over the same period. BTTS - Yes landed in 25% of Ponte Preta’s away matches and in none of their last 5 games, making a result in which at least one team fails to score more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Novorizontino’s matches and 94% of Ponte Preta’s. The visitors concede an average of 2.69 goals per season and have shipped 12 goals in their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood that the hosts alone will come close to scoring twice. Novorizontino’s attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 2.23 across their last 5 matches, while Ponte Preta have allowed 2.01 xG over the same period. At the same time, the visitors have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches, so the forecast does not assume a significant contribution from them. The 1.5 line offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5, which has landed in 31% of the hosts’ matches and 50% of the visitors’ matches.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is Novorizontino leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until the end of the match. In their last 5 games, the hosts led at half-time twice and were never trailing, while Ponte Preta went into the break behind in 4 of their 5 matches. Over this period, Novorizontino averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, while Ponte Preta conceded 1.4, pointing to an early advantage for the hosts. After the break, the visitors failed to score in any of their last 5 matches, whereas the hosts averaged 0.8 goals in that half, making a Ponte Preta turnaround less likely. The risk is a draw at half-time, which Novorizontino recorded in 3 of their last 5 matches; therefore, a scenario in which the hosts win later in the match also carries significant weight in the forecast.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

3 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
13Shots13
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
7Shots on target7
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.58xG1.53
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
5Corners3
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
37Dangerous attacks30
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
23Fouls23
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
3Cards6
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.69Goals scored / game0.53
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0.84Goals allowed / game2.13
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
48%Average possession41%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
5.56Shots on target / game3.03
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.06Shots per game10.13
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
5.56Shots on target3.03
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
10.5%Shot conversion5.2%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
48%Possession41%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.74xG for1.11
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.15xG against1.94
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Shooting quality

Novorizontino: AttackingPonte Preta: Balanced
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Novorizontino is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Novorizontino · 0.6 pts / game - Ponte Preta

Novorizontino
DLDWW
Season result split
50% W28% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-9-7
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.26Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Ponte Preta
LWLLL
Season result split
9% W13% D78% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-25
0.41 pts / game · goal difference -51
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-15
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.84Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 219% better for: goals scored per game.

1.69 goals / game - Novorizontino · 0.53 goals / game - Ponte Preta

Novorizontino is 154% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.84 goals / game - Novorizontino · 2.13 goals / game - Ponte Preta

Novorizontino scoring profile: very strong

Novorizontino scores in 75% of games (24 of 32 games), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 games).

Ponte Preta scoring profile: mixed

Ponte Preta scores in 44% of games (14 of 32 games), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 games).

54Goals scored (season)17
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
27Goals conceded (season)68
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
2.53Average goals per game2.66
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
7Goals scored (last 5)1
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal44%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
53%2 goals9%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
31%3 goals0%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
9%4 goals0%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal91%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
16%2 goals72%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
6%3 goals25%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0%4 goals13%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time22%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0%BTTS in both halves3%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
38%Scored in both halves6%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
40%BTTS - last 50%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novorizontino is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / game - Novorizontino · 0.75 pts / game - Ponte Preta

Novorizontino - half-time state
34% leading56% draw9% trailing
Ponte Preta - half-time state
16% leading28% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per game (1st half)0.75
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.38
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)1.03
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.41
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
63%Clean sheet before half-time31%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
44%No goal before half-time66%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)0.44
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0.97Goals scored (2nd half)0.16
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.25
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
66%Clean sheet after half-time31%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
44%No goal after half-time84%
NovorizontinoPonte Preta

Novorizontino - second-half results

47% W34% D19% L
51
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
56
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ponte Preta - second-half results

3% W34% D63% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-30
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Novorizontino - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Ponte Preta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.40
Goals scored / game0.20.0
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-6-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
5
8
16-30
11
3
31-45
6
5
46-60
10
2
61-75
15
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Ponte Preta
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
3
9
16-30
8
17
31-45
3
11
46-60
1
7
61-75
1
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Ponte Preta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

NovorizontinoLigaPonte Preta
Average goals per game▲ 2.532.34▲ 2.66
Both teams scored▲ 50%47%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%43%▼ 41%
Clean sheets▲ 38%31%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 66%68%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time▼ 72%74%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / game
1.01
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NovorizontinoRed cardPatrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas
  2. Ponte PretaGoalDanilo de Souza LimaAssist: Sergio Palacios
  3. Ponte PretaYellow cardGustavo Almeida Oliveira
  4. NovorizontinoGoalRomulo Azevedo Simão
  5. NovorizontinoSubstitutionOn: Eduardo Schroeder BrockOff: Romulo Azevedo Simão
  6. NovorizontinoYellow cardMádson Ferreira dos Santos
  7. Ponte PretaYellow cardGustavo Almeida Oliveira
  8. Ponte PretaYellow cardDenis Alves Borges
  9. NovorizontinoSubstitutionOn: Alexis Iván AlvariñoOff: Mádson Ferreira dos Santos
  10. Ponte PretaYellow cardGustavo Lopes Teles
  11. Ponte PretaYellow cardDenis Alves Borges
  12. NovorizontinoGoalEduardo Schroeder Brock
  13. Ponte PretaYellow cardRyan Henrique Pereira Andrade

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Novorizontino's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ponte Preta. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?

The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 5:1 Ponte Preta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?

Novorizontino score 1.69 goals per game on average and Ponte Preta 0.53. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novorizontino's matches and 38% of Ponte Preta's.

What form are Novorizontino and Ponte Preta in?

Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ponte Preta 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?

The statistical background for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.