Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novorizontino played against Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on June 26, 2026. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Novorizontino has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Vila Nova has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Novorizontino scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 0.93. Vila Nova scores 1.57 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Novorizontino's games and 57% of Vila Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novorizontino has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.47 per game. Novorizontino takes 14.5 shots per game, while Vila Nova takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Novorizontino leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.21 goals per game after halftime. Vila Nova leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novorizontino's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Vila Nova, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novorizontino has a clear advantage at home in chance creation: home average xG is 1.90 with 17.67 attempts and 5.83 shots on target, translating to 1.50 goals per game. Vila Nova on the road generates 1.39 xG, 13.14 attempts and 3.43 shots on target, i.e. only 1.14 goals per game and 29% of matches without a goal. In the last 5 matches Novorizontino scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, while Vila Nova scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and recorded 4 wins and 1 loss; points per game in this period are 2.2 versus 2.4 for the visitors. Defensively the hosts concede on average 0.94 xG against and 1.33 goals conceded at home, whereas the visitors have xG against 1.31 and concede on average 1.00 goal away, which suggests Novorizontino better limits high-quality chances. Considering the higher xG (1.90 vs 1.39), more shots on target (5.83 vs 3.43) and the fact the hosts have not had a goalless home game (0% matches without a goal), I forecast a Novorizontino win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor the BTTS scenario: Novorizontino has a season BTTS rate of 71% and BTTS 60% in the last 5 matches, while Vila Nova sits at 43% seasonally and 40% in the last 5, giving a stronger attacking signal for the home side. xG assessment indicates realistic scoring chances for both teams: expected xG for the home side is around 1.44 (average of 1.56 and 1.31), and for the away side around 1.27 (average of 1.39 and 1.15). Novorizontino averages 2.0 goals per season (2.2 in the last 5), records 4.86 shots on target and 14% conversion, whereas Vila Nova scores 1.14 goals per season (1.6 in the last 5), registers 3.43 shots on target and 9% conversion, so the visitors also have scoring potential. Additionally, both teams have only 29% clean sheets, and the league BTTS rate is 49%, therefore considering the home side’s offensive edge I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% vs 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive metrics I estimate total goals around 2.71: Novorizontino about 1.44 goals (attacking xG 1.56 vs Vila Nova allowed xG 1.31), and Vila Nova about 1.27 goals (attacking xG 1.39 vs Novorizontino allowed xG 1.15). Form and offensive stats confirm the home side’s advantage: Novorizontino averages 2.0 goals per match this season and 2.2 in the last 5 (11 goals), averages 14.57 shots and 4.86 on target with a 14% conversion rate. Vila Nova scores 1.14 goals this season and 1.6 in the last 5 (8 goals), has a lower 9% conversion and averages 13.14 shots, which reduces the chance of a very high-scoring game, although both teams have 100% Over 0.5 this season. Over stats show Novorizontino at home with Over 1.5 in 86% and Over 2.5 in 57%, while Vila Nova away has Over 1.5 in 43% and Over 2.5 in 29%, so the expected xG 2.71 gives a strong signal for Over 1.5 and a moderate signal for Over 2.5. For these reasons I recommend betting Over 1.5 (best line) with probability around 88%; Over 2.5 I assess at 58%, and Over 3.5 at 22%, noting Over 3.5 is unlikely because only 29% of home matches and 14% of away matches finish above 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back the 1/1 scenario (home team leads at half-time and wins) because Novorizontino led at half-time in 3 of 7 home matches (43%) and score an average of 1.14 first-half goals versus Vila Nova’s 0.29. Over the full match the home side averages 2.0 goals and records 71% home wins, while Vila Nova averages 1.14 goals and 43% wins, which strongly favors a Novorizontino victory. Additionally Novorizontino has higher xG (1.56 vs 1.39), more shots on target (4.86 vs 3.43) and better conversion (14% vs 9%), so a lead at the break is statistically easier to maintain; therefore I assigned the largest weight of 34% to 1/1. A half-time draw with a later home win (X/1) I estimate at 14%, because half-time draws occur for the home side in 2 of 7 matches (29%) and often end in a second-half victory. The visitors, despite good form (80% wins in the last 5 matches), rarely lead at half-time — only in 1 of 7 cases (14%) — so combinations involving Vila Nova leading at the break carry lower probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novorizontino | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vila Nova is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Novorizontino · 2.4 pts / game - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Novorizontino · 1.07 goals / game - Vila Nova
Novorizontino scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
Vila Nova scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novorizontino
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Novorizontino · 1.29 pts / game - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Novorizontino | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.32 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novorizontino's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Vila Nova. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 2:1 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novorizontino and Vila Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1, Vila Nova won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino score 1.57 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.57. The Serie B average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novorizontino's matches and 57% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Novorizontino and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vila Nova 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.