Olympique Marseille vs Lille: match statistics
Olympique Marseille displays significantly better home form with a 69% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +18. The hosts score an average of 2.54 goals per game at home with only 8% losses, making them a very strong opponent at their own stadium. Lille shows problems in away matches, failing to score in 46% of games, with their win rate being only 12%. The form from the last five matches also favors Marseille (2.0 points per game) compared to Lille (1.4 points). The advantage in possession (59% vs 56%), higher shot accuracy (18% vs 12%), and better xG figures (1.71 vs 1.53) further confirm the hosts' superiority. Taking all these factors into account, Olympique Marseille has a realistic chance of securing three points, although Lille, as a solid team, could cause an upset or secure a draw.
Olympique Marseille vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Olympique Marseille played against Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Olympique Marseille has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lille has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Olympique Marseille scores 2.04 goals per game and allows 1.27. Lille scores 1.54 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Olympique Marseille's games and 42% of Lille's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Olympique Marseille has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.61 per game. Olympique Marseille takes 14.3 shots per game, while Lille takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Olympique Marseille leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Lille leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.12 after halftime.
When the teams score
Olympique Marseille's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Lille, it is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille displays significantly better home form with a 69% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +18. The hosts score an average of 2.54 goals per game at home with only 8% losses, making them a very strong opponent at their own stadium. Lille shows problems in away matches, failing to score in 46% of games, with their win rate being only 12%. The form from the last five matches also favors Marseille (2.0 points per game) compared to Lille (1.4 points). The advantage in possession (59% vs 56%), higher shot accuracy (18% vs 12%), and better xG figures (1.71 vs 1.53) further confirm the hosts' superiority. Taking all these factors into account, Olympique Marseille has a realistic chance of securing three points, although Lille, as a solid team, could cause an upset or secure a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lille is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Olympique Marseille · 2.2 pts / game - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
2.04 goals / game - Olympique Marseille · 1.54 goals / game - Lille
Olympique Marseille scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Lille scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - Lille
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Olympique Marseille · 1.35 pts / game - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Olympique Marseille
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.31 | 2.77 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Olympique Marseille's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lille. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 1:2 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
Olympique Marseille score 2.04 goals per game on average and Lille 1.54. The Ligue 1 average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 42% of Lille's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lille 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.