Colombia - Categoria Primera AData current as of September 06, 2026

Once Caldas vs Millonarios: match statistics

Once Caldas crest
Once Caldas
1 : 4half-time 0:1
Millonarios crest
Millonarios
165%(2.12)
X22%(3.25)
213%(3.10)

Once Caldas boasts an impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall and averaging 2.5 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Millonarios have not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate) and have lost a staggering 80% of their away games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.94 vs 1.37), and additionally, Once Caldas enjoys significantly better ball possession (58% vs 42%) and shot accuracy. The poor away form of Millonarios (sequence: loss-loss-draw-loss-loss) when confronted with Once Caldas's solid home play decisively points to a home victory.

Once Caldas vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Once Caldas played against Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:4.

Recent form

Once Caldas has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Millonarios has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Once Caldas scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 1.08. Millonarios scores 1.58 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of Once Caldas's games and 58% of Millonarios's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.54 per game. Once Caldas takes 13.8 shots per game, while Millonarios takes 15.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Once Caldas leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Millonarios leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Once Caldas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Millonarios, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Categoria Primera A games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Once Caldas boasts an impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall and averaging 2.5 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Millonarios have not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate) and have lost a staggering 80% of their away games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.94 vs 1.37), and additionally, Once Caldas enjoys significantly better ball possession (58% vs 42%) and shot accuracy. The poor away form of Millonarios (sequence: loss-loss-draw-loss-loss) when confronted with Once Caldas's solid home play decisively points to a home victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 3
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
Once CaldasMillonarios
18Shots18
Once CaldasMillonarios
3Shots on target7
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.5xG1.71
Once CaldasMillonarios
4Corners4
Once CaldasMillonarios
20Dangerous attacks12
Once CaldasMillonarios
2Fouls9
Once CaldasMillonarios
2Cards3
Once CaldasMillonarios

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Once CaldasMillonarios
1.92Goals scored / game1.58
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.08Goals allowed / game1.08
Once CaldasMillonarios
51%Average possession47%
Once CaldasMillonarios
5.83Shots on target / game5.08
Once CaldasMillonarios

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.83Shots per game15.83
Once CaldasMillonarios
5.83Shots on target5.08
Once CaldasMillonarios
13.9%Shot conversion10%
Once CaldasMillonarios
51%Possession47%
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.57xG for1.54
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.41xG against1.11
Once CaldasMillonarios

Shooting quality

Once Caldas: Efficient finishingMillonarios: Attacking
Once CaldasMillonarios
Accuracy (shots on target)42%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Once Caldas is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Once Caldas · 1.8 pts / game - Millonarios

Once Caldas
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W42% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-1
1.92 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Millonarios
LWWLW
Season result split
42% W17% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Once Caldas is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.92 goals / game - Once Caldas · 1.58 goals / game - Millonarios

Once Caldas scoring profile: very strong

Once Caldas scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 meczów), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 meczów).

Millonarios scoring profile: very strong

Millonarios scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 meczów), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)19
Once CaldasMillonarios
13Goals conceded (season)13
Once CaldasMillonarios
3Average goals per game2.67
Once CaldasMillonarios
14Goals scored (last 5)13
Once CaldasMillonarios
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Once CaldasMillonarios

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
Once CaldasMillonarios
50%2 goals42%
Once CaldasMillonarios
25%3 goals17%
Once CaldasMillonarios
17%4 goals8%
Once CaldasMillonarios

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal58%
Once CaldasMillonarios
25%2 goals42%
Once CaldasMillonarios
0%3 goals8%
Once CaldasMillonarios
0%4 goals0%
Once CaldasMillonarios

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time17%
Once CaldasMillonarios
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Once CaldasMillonarios
33%Scored in both halves25%
Once CaldasMillonarios

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Once CaldasMillonarios
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Once CaldasMillonarios
60%BTTS - last 560%
Once CaldasMillonarios

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Once CaldasMillonarios
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Once CaldasMillonarios
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Once CaldasMillonarios

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Once CaldasMillonarios
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Once CaldasMillonarios
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Once CaldasMillonarios

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Once Caldas is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / game - Once Caldas · 1.5 pts / game - Millonarios

Once Caldas - half-time state
33% leading58% draw8% trailing
Millonarios - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per game (1st half)1.5
Once CaldasMillonarios
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Once CaldasMillonarios
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.17
Once CaldasMillonarios
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Once CaldasMillonarios
33%No goal before half-time50%
Once CaldasMillonarios

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per game (2nd half)1.42
Once CaldasMillonarios
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Once CaldasMillonarios
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Once CaldasMillonarios
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Once CaldasMillonarios
58%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Once CaldasMillonarios
33%No goal after half-time42%
Once CaldasMillonarios

Once Caldas - second-half results

33% W58% R8% P
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Millonarios - second-half results

33% W42% R25% P
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Once Caldas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.20
Goals scored / game1.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.82.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Millonarios - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game1.01.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Once Caldas
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
0
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Millonarios
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Once Caldas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Millonarios

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Once CaldasLigaMillonarios
Average goals per game 3.002.55 2.67
Both teams scored 83%56% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%49% 67%
Clean sheets 17%26% 42%
Goal before half-time 75%70% 58%
Goal after half-time 67%79% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.01
Away goals / game
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MillonariosYellow cardBackham David Castro Espinosa
  2. Once CaldasYellow cardJuan David Cuesta Santos
  3. Once CaldasYellow cardRobert Andrés Mejía Navarrete
  4. MillonariosYellow cardRodrigo Contreras
  5. MillonariosYellow cardMateo García Rojas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Wilmar Alexander Roldán PérezMatches officiated: 16
3.94Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins31%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Once Caldas's perspective: 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Millonarios. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Millonarios FC SA
0 : 0
Once Caldas SA
Millonarios FC SA
2 : 2
Once Caldas SA
Once Caldas SA
0 : 0
Millonarios FC SA
Once Caldas SA
2 : 2
Millonarios FC SA

FAQ

What was the result of Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 1:4 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Millonarios?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 0, Millonarios won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Once Caldas score 1.92 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.58. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Once Caldas's matches and 58% of Millonarios's.

What form are Once Caldas and Millonarios in?

Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Millonarios 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Once Caldas vs Millonarios: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.