Osnabrück vs Ulm: match statistics
Osnabrück vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Osnabrück play Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Osnabrück: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Ulm: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Osnabrück scores 1.74 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.29 and concedes 2.05. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Osnabrück 42%, Ulm 74%. Over 2.5: Osnabrück 45%, Ulm 66%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Osnabrück has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.43. Osnabrück: 13.1 shots per match, Ulm: 11.8.
Match halves
Osnabrück: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.13. Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Osnabrück: 76-90+ (16 goals). Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (Osnabrück). They sit 1st in the table with 23 wins and 61 goals scored this season, versus Ulm’s 9 wins and 46 goals. Recent form strongly favors the hosts: Osnabrück have 4 wins and 1 loss in the last five, averaging 2.4 points per game, scoring 7 and conceding 4, while Ulm have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 points per game with a 6:12 goal record. The biggest edge is Osnabrück’s defence — at home they concede 0.61 goals per match and keep 61% clean sheets, whereas Ulm away concede 2.22 goals per match with only 11% clean sheets; additionally the home win rate is 61% versus Ulm’s 17% away win rate. Attacking advantage is moderate: Osnabrück at home average 1.56 goals per game with xG 1.56 and 4.72 shots on target, while Ulm away average 1.33 goals with xG 1.45 and 3.94 shots on target, indicating Ulm’s weak defence is the main factor. Based on this I assess probabilities as 75% for the home side, 15% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Osnabrück | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osnabrück is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Osnabrück · 0.8 pts / match - Ulm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osnabrück is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Osnabrück · 1.29 goals / match - Ulm
Osnabrück is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Osnabrück · 2.05 goals / match - Ulm
Osnabrück scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Osnabrück
Over / Under — Ulm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Osnabrück is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Osnabrück · 0.92 pts / match - Ulm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Osnabrück - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Osnabrück
Ulm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Osnabrück | Liga | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Osnabrück 1 - 0 - 0 Ulm. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Osnabrück vs Ulm?
The 3. Liga match finished Osnabrück 1:1 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Osnabrück vs Ulm?
Osnabrück score 1.74 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.29. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Osnabrück's matches and 74% of Ulm's.
What form are Osnabrück and Ulm in?
Over the last 5 games Osnabrück have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Ulm 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osnabrück vs Ulm?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.