Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: match statistics
Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Oued Akbou played against ES Sétif in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Oued Akbou has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. ES Sétif has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Oued Akbou scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.04. ES Sétif scores 0.96 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Oued Akbou's games and 50% of ES Sétif's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 33%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
ES Sétif has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.23 per game. Oued Akbou takes 9.4 shots per game, while ES Sétif takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Oued Akbou leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. ES Sétif leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Oued Akbou's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For ES Sétif, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.17 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oued Akbou holds a clear home advantage: they win 73% of matches at home, concede on average 0.73 goals and record 45% clean sheets, indicating a solid defensive profile. Offensively the hosts score 1.36 goals per home game and have an xG of 1.56 with 4.82 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate, whereas ES Sétif away manages only 0.33 goals on average, xG 1.14 and 2.83 shots on target. The visitors are markedly weaker on the road: just 8% away wins, fail to score in 67% of away matches, concede 1.42 goals on average away and have a -13 goal difference away from home. In their last 5 matches Oued Akbou scored 6 goals, won 3 and drew 2, averaging 2.2 points per game, while ES Sétif also scored 6 goals but only has 2 wins and 1 draw with a 1.4 points per game average. Considering superior possession (53% vs 47%), better quality of chances (4.82 shots on target and 11% conversion vs opponents’ 2.83 and 4%) and ES Sétif’s clear away issues, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
ES Sétif average only 0.33 goals away and were shut out in 67% of their away matches this season, a strong signal against BTTS. Oued Akbou at home scores 1.58 goals per game with xG 1.50, has a home BTTS rate of 75%, averages 4.67 shots on target and a conversion rate of 16%, so the hosts will create chances. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 40% and the visitors have recently improved xG to 1.62 and average 1.2 goals, which partially reduces the argument against BTTS. Still, due to the very low seasonal away goals average for the visitors (0.33), ES Sétif’s high percentage of scoreless away games (67%) and the visitors’ seasonal BTTS of 25%, it is more likely the match will end with No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I model expected goals as the average of the home attack xG and the opponent’s defense xG: (1.50 + 1.67)/2 = 1.59 for Oued Akbou and (1.14 + 1.12)/2 = 1.13 for ES Sétif, yielding a total of 2.72 expected goals. This supports the over market, since the home side averages 1.58 goals scored per game versus 0.33 for the visitors, 4.67 shots on target vs 2.83 and a conversion rate of 16% vs 4%, meaning they create and convert more chances. Season occurrences above 1.5 goals are 83% for home matches and 58% for away matches; in the Poisson model the probability of exceeding 1.5 is about 76%, while over 2.5 is ~51%. Additionally Oued Akbou scores on average 1.08 goals in the second half (vs 0.17 for ES Sétif), which suggests the hosts frequently add goals after halftime and help push past the 1.5 threshold; therefore I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oued Akbou has a clear offensive advantage: they average 1.58 goals per match versus ES Sétif’s 0.33, and the home win percentage is 42% compared to just 8% for the visitors. Both teams very often draw at half-time — 67% of home matches and 67% of away matches end level after 45 minutes — therefore a draw at the break is the most likely scenario. In the second half Oued Akbou is markedly more dangerous: they score an average of 1.08 goals after the break and have 83% of matches with at least one goal in the second half, while ES Sétif scores only 0.17 goals in the second half. Additionally, the hosts’ conversion rate of 16% versus 4% for the visitors and an xG of 1.5 versus 1.14 suggest Oued will more frequently convert their chances and stage a turnaround after the break, hence the selection: draw at half-time and home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Oued Akbou | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Oued Akbou is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Oued Akbou · 1.4 pts / game - ES Sétif
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oued Akbou is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Oued Akbou · 0.96 goals / game - ES Sétif
Oued Akbou is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Oued Akbou · 1.21 goals / game - ES Sétif
Oued Akbou scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while ES Sétif keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
ES Sétif scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Oued Akbou keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oued Akbou
Over / Under - ES Sétif
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oued Akbou is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Oued Akbou · 1.04 pts / game - ES Sétif
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oued Akbou - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
ES Sétif - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Oued Akbou
ES Sétif
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Oued Akbou | Liga | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.35 | 2.17 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Oued Akbou's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against ES Sétif. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
The Ligue 1 match finished Oued Akbou 1:0 ES Sétif. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
Oued Akbou score 1.30 goals per game on average and ES Sétif 0.96. The Ligue 1 average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Oued Akbou's matches and 50% of ES Sétif's.
What form are Oued Akbou and ES Sétif in?
Over the last 5 games Oued Akbou have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and ES Sétif 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oued Akbou vs ES Sétif: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.