Pachuca vs Necaxa: match statistics
Pachuca displays decidedly better home form with 54% wins and only 8% draws at their own stadium, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Necaxa records a dramatic balance of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the fact that they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season (0% CS%). The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts – Pachuca earned 2.0 points per match, whereas Necaxa took only 1.2. xG statistics confirm the hosts' advantage (1.48 vs 1.47 for the visitors), and their higher defensive effectiveness in home matches (0.92 goals conceded) combined with Necaxa's vulnerability on the road gives Pachuca solid grounds to achieve victory.
Pachuca vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pachuca played against Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Pachuca has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Necaxa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Pachuca scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.11. Necaxa scores 1.36 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Pachuca's games and 64% of Necaxa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 56%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Necaxa has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.47 per game. Pachuca takes 14.0 shots per game, while Necaxa takes 15.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Pachuca leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Necaxa leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pachuca's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Necaxa, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca displays decidedly better home form with 54% wins and only 8% draws at their own stadium, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Necaxa records a dramatic balance of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. Particularly worrying for the visitors is the fact that they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season (0% CS%). The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts – Pachuca earned 2.0 points per match, whereas Necaxa took only 1.2. xG statistics confirm the hosts' advantage (1.48 vs 1.47 for the visitors), and their higher defensive effectiveness in home matches (0.92 goals conceded) combined with Necaxa's vulnerability on the road gives Pachuca solid grounds to achieve victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pachuca is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Pachuca · 1.2 pts / game - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.26 goals / game - Pachuca · 1.36 goals / game - Necaxa
Pachuca is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Pachuca · 1.8 goals / game - Necaxa
Pachuca scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 25 meczów).
Necaxa scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Pachuca · 0.96 pts / game - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pachuca
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.37 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Pachuca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Necaxa. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 2:1 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca score 1.26 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.36. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Pachuca's matches and 64% of Necaxa's.
What form are Pachuca and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Necaxa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.