Pachuca vs Necaxa: match statistics
Pachuca vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pachuca played against Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Hidalgo. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Pachuca has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Necaxa has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Pachuca scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.10. Necaxa scores 1.20 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Pachuca's games and 90% of Necaxa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 70%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pachuca has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.54 per game. Pachuca takes 16.2 shots per game, while Necaxa takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Pachuca leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Necaxa leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pachuca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Necaxa, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca have a clear edge over the last five matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, compared with Necaxa’s 5 scored and 12 conceded. The hosts won 2 matches in that period, while the visitors failed to win any and suffered 4 defeats. At home, Pachuca create chances worth an average xG of 2.1, compared with Necaxa’s 1.35 away from home, and also average 6 shots on target against their opponents’ 3.25. However, Pachuca’s home finishing is not particularly strong: they score an average of 1.5 goals from 20.25 shots, while both teams concede 2 goals per match in these conditions. This limits confidence in the pick, but Necaxa’s recent defensive struggles and Pachuca’s greater volume of chances point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 83% of Pachuca’s home matches and 100% of Necaxa’s away matches, significantly more often than the league average of 57%. Both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals per match in these conditions, and neither has kept a clean sheet, increasing the likelihood of each side scoring. Pachuca creates an average of 1.67 xG at home, while Necaxa allows up to 2.19 xG away, making a home goal look likely. The visitors score an average of 1.0 goals away and have found the net in every such match so far, although Pachuca’s improved recent defense, conceding 0.8 goals across five matches, makes the prediction less certain. Despite this caveat, the record of both defenses and the frequency of goals scored by each side so far point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pachuca went over 1.5 goals in 83% of their home matches, while Necaxa did so in 100% of their away games, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals in these conditions, and neither has kept a clean sheet, limiting the likelihood of a low-scoring outcome. The hosts have an xG of 1.67, while their opponents allow an xG of 2.19, giving Pachuca a solid basis to score more than once. In their last five matches, Necaxa conceded an average of 2.4 goals, although Pachuca allowed opponents just 0.8 goals per game over the same period. This contrast calls for caution on higher goal lines, but with a projected total of 3.10 goals, the case for Over 1.5 remains strong.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Pachuca were level at the break in 67% of their matches so far, and Necaxa in 75%; neither team had a half-time lead in this period. After the break, the advantage should lie with the hosts, who have averaged 1.0 goals scored and none conceded in second halves across their last five matches, while Necaxa have averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Pachuca’s recent form also supports a home win: they have averaged 1.6 points per match, compared with Necaxa’s 0.2. The hosts also average 1.67 xG, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.19 xG per match, strengthening the case for X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pachuca is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Pachuca · 0.2 pts / game - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pachuca is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Pachuca · 1.2 goals / game - Necaxa
Pachuca is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Pachuca · 2 goals / game - Necaxa
Pachuca scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
Necaxa scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / game - Pachuca · 0.7 pts / game - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Necaxa - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pachuca
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.60 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Pachuca's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Necaxa. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 3:3 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pachuca and Necaxa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 2, Necaxa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca score 1.50 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.20. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pachuca's matches and 90% of Necaxa's.
What form are Pachuca and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Necaxa 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.