Estonia - MeistriliigaPaide linnastaadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Paide vs Trans: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paide vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Paide plays Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion.

Recent form

Paide has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Trans has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Paide scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.23. Trans scores 0.77 and allows 2.19. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 65% of Paide's games and 45% of Trans's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 65%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.48 per game. Paide takes 14.6 shots per game, while Trans takes 12.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Paide leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Trans leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Paide's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Trans, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.61Goals scored / game0.77
PaideTrans
1.23Goals allowed / game2.19
PaideTrans
54%Average possession45%
PaideTrans
4.77Shots on target / game3.74
PaideTrans

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.61Shots per game12.48
PaideTrans
4.77Shots on target3.74
PaideTrans
11%Shot conversion6.2%
PaideTrans
54%Possession45%
PaideTrans
1.76xG for1.48
PaideTrans
1.6xG against1.7
PaideTrans

Shooting quality

Paide: AttackingTrans: Balanced
PaideTrans
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paide is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Paide · 0.6 pts / game - Trans

Paide
LWWLW
Season result split
52% W19% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-9
1.74 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Trans
DLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
16% W16% D68% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-21
0.65 pts / game · goal difference -44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-12
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 109% better for: goals scored per game.

1.61 goals / game - Paide · 0.77 goals / game - Trans

Paide is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.23 goals / game - Paide · 2.19 goals / game - Trans

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 87% of games (27 of 31 games), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 games).

Trans scoring profile: strong

Trans scores in 52% of games (16 of 31 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 games).

50Goals scored (season)24
PaideTrans
38Goals conceded (season)68
PaideTrans
2.84Average goals per game2.97
PaideTrans
8Goals scored (last 5)5
PaideTrans
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
PaideTrans

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal52%
PaideTrans
48%2 goals19%
PaideTrans
19%3 goals6%
PaideTrans
6%4 goals0%
PaideTrans

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal90%
PaideTrans
29%2 goals65%
PaideTrans
10%3 goals32%
PaideTrans
3%4 goals13%
PaideTrans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time16%
PaideTrans
6%BTTS in both halves0%
PaideTrans
42%Scored in both halves10%
PaideTrans

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
PaideTrans
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS26%
PaideTrans
60%BTTS - last 560%
PaideTrans

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
PaideTrans
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
PaideTrans
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
PaideTrans

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
PaideTrans
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
PaideTrans
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PaideTrans

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / game - Paide · 0.84 pts / game - Trans

Paide - half-time state
32% leading52% draw16% trailing
Trans - half-time state
19% leading26% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per game (1st half)0.84
PaideTrans
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.48
PaideTrans
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
PaideTrans
1.23Average goals (1st half)1.55
PaideTrans
65%Clean sheet before half-time32%
PaideTrans
45%No goal before half-time68%
PaideTrans

After half-time (2nd half)

1.77Points per game (2nd half)0.68
PaideTrans
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
PaideTrans
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
PaideTrans
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.42
PaideTrans
48%Clean sheet after half-time23%
PaideTrans
26%No goal after half-time71%
PaideTrans

Paide - second-half results

52% W23% D26% L
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Trans - second-half results

16% W19% D65% L
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-26
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 16%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Trans - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Paide
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
7
8
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Trans
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
8
16-30
6
18
31-45
1
7
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaTrans
Average goals per game▼ 2.843.10▼ 2.97
Both teams scored▲ 65%57%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 52%64%• 65%
Clean sheets• 23%23%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%76%▲ 84%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%88%▲ 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Paide's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Trans. Games average 1.86 goals, and both teams scored in 29% of them.

Trans
1 : 1
Paide
Trans
1 : 0
Paide
Paide
1 : 0
Trans
JK Narva Trans
2 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

When do Paide and Trans play?

Paide face Trans on October 18, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Trans?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Paide won 3, Trans won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Trans?

Paide score 1.61 goals per game on average and Trans 0.77. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Paide's matches and 45% of Trans's.

What form are Paide and Trans in?

Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Trans 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Trans?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.