Paide vs Vaprus: match statistics
Paide vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paide played against Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on September 16, 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Paide has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Vaprus has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Paide scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 1.30. Vaprus scores 1.33 and allows 1.96. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Paide's games and 67% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.16 per game. Paide takes 14.7 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Paide leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paide's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide sit 3rd, while Vaprus are 7th, with the hosts winning 13 of 26 league matches compared with the visitors’ 9 victories. At home, Paide average 1.42 goals scored with an xG of 1.66, whereas Vaprus allow opponents an xG of 2.10 away from home and concede as many as 2.17 goals per match. The hosts average 14.08 shots and 3.75 shots on target at home, clearly more than Vaprus away, at 8.42 and 3.17 respectively. Paide’s defense concedes just 1.00 goal per home match, while the visitors have lost 58% of their away games and have a -13 goal difference on the road. Recent form is relatively similar, as Paide have scored 9 goals and won 3 of their last 5 matches, but home advantage and Vaprus’ defensive frailties support a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both sides to score is clear, as BTTS occurred in 64% of Paide matches and as many as 75% of Vaprus games, compared with the league average of 59%. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.8 goals per game, while Paide conceded an average of 1.6 and Vaprus 1.8. The visitors’ defense looks particularly vulnerable to conceding: Vaprus allows an average of 2.17 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in only 17% of its games. Paide is not impenetrable either, with its opponents generating an average of 1.91 xG against them, while Vaprus produced 1.37 xG across its last five matches. The BTTS scenario is therefore more likely than a No Goal outcome, especially since both teams failed to score in only 14% and 17% of their matches, respectively.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Paide score an average of 1.64 goals per match, while Vaprus concede as many as 2.17, clearly strengthening the outlook for goals from the hosts. Both teams are also in strong attacking form: over their last five matches, they have scored 1.8 goals per game each, while conceding 1.6 and 1.8 respectively. Their average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.97 for Paide and 1.37 for Vaprus, while their opponents generated 1.62 and 1.99 xG respectively. At least two goals were scored in 79% of Paide's matches and 83% of Vaprus' games, while the Estonian league records a high average of 3.12 goals per match. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the season data, current form and the visitors' weaker defense give a very high probability of surpassing this low line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Paide have the stronger potential to secure the final victory: they score an average of 1.64 goals per match, while Vaprus concede as many as 2.17, and the hosts have won 43% of their matches compared with 25% for the visitors. A draw at half-time is supported by the more cautious starts made by both sides: Paide were level after 45 minutes in 43% of their matches, while Vaprus were level in 50%; across the hosts’ last five appearances, this figure was as high as 80%. After the break, Paide score an average of 0.86 goals, while Vaprus concede 1.17, creating a favourable opportunity for the hosts to turn a closely contested match in their favor. In addition, Paide average 1.43 points per match after half-time, compared with 0.92 for Vaprus. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Paide victory at the final whistle (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paide is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Paide · 0.8 pts / game - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.59 goals / game - Paide · 1.33 goals / game - Vaprus
Paide is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Paide · 1.96 goals / game - Vaprus
Paide scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 games).
Vaprus scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paide
Over / Under - Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Paide · 1.22 pts / game - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paide
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.89 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 66% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paide's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Vaprus. Games average 2.83 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 2:0 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Vaprus?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Paide won 4, Vaprus won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide score 1.59 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.33. The Meistriliiga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Paide's matches and 67% of Vaprus's.
What form are Paide and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Vaprus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Vaprus?
The statistical background for Paide vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.