Panathinaikos vs Larissa: match statistics
Panathinaikos holds a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 11% losses and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.78, which, with 44% clean sheets, indicates solid defense. Larissa performs significantly worse away – they win only 22% of matches, lose 44%, and have a negative goal difference of -4, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. The difference in possession quality (52% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency (14% vs 9%) further favors the hosts. Although Larissa has shown better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), their poor away results and Panathinaikos' advantage in head-to-head home encounters make the hosts clear favorites for this match.
Panathinaikos vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Panathinaikos played against Larissa in Super League (Greece). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Panathinaikos has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Larissa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Panathinaikos scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.11. Larissa scores 0.95 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Panathinaikos's games and 50% of Larissa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Panathinaikos has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.26 per game. Panathinaikos takes 12.6 shots per game, while Larissa takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Panathinaikos leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Larissa leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Panathinaikos's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Larissa, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Panathinaikos holds a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 11% losses and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.78, which, with 44% clean sheets, indicates solid defense. Larissa performs significantly worse away – they win only 22% of matches, lose 44%, and have a negative goal difference of -4, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. The difference in possession quality (52% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency (14% vs 9%) further favors the hosts. Although Larissa has shown better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), their poor away results and Panathinaikos' advantage in head-to-head home encounters make the hosts clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Panathinaikos | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Panathinaikos is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Panathinaikos · 0.95 goals / game - Larissa
Panathinaikos is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Panathinaikos · 1.6 goals / game - Larissa
Panathinaikos scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
Larissa scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panathinaikos
Over / Under - Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Panathinaikos is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Panathinaikos · 0.8 pts / game - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Panathinaikos
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Panathinaikos | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.61 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Panathinaikos's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Larissa. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished Panathinaikos 1:1 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
Panathinaikos score 1.47 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.95. The Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Panathinaikos's matches and 50% of Larissa's.
What form are Panathinaikos and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games Panathinaikos have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Larissa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
The statistical background for Panathinaikos vs Larissa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.