Panathinaikos vs Larissa: match statistics
Panathinaikos holds a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 11% losses and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.78, which, with 44% clean sheets, indicates solid defense. Larissa performs significantly worse away – they win only 22% of matches, lose 44%, and have a negative goal difference of -4, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. The difference in possession quality (52% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency (14% vs 9%) further favors the hosts. Although Larissa has shown better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), their poor away results and Panathinaikos' advantage in head-to-head home encounters make the hosts clear favorites for this match.
Panathinaikos vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panathinaikos play Larissa in Super League (Greece). The match date is 15 February 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Panathinaikos: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Larissa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panathinaikos scores 1.47 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Larissa scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panathinaikos 50%, Larissa 61%. Over 2.5: Panathinaikos 50%, Larissa 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Panathinaikos has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.25. Panathinaikos: 12.6 shots per match, Larissa: 11.4.
Match halves
Panathinaikos: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.75. Larissa: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Panathinaikos: 0-15 (11 goals). Larissa: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Panathinaikos holds a decisive advantage in home matches, winning 67% of games with only 11% losses and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.78, which, with 44% clean sheets, indicates solid defense. Larissa performs significantly worse away – they win only 22% of matches, lose 44%, and have a negative goal difference of -4, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. The difference in possession quality (52% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency (14% vs 9%) further favors the hosts. Although Larissa has shown better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), their poor away results and Panathinaikos' advantage in head-to-head home encounters make the hosts clear favorites for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panathinaikos | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larissa is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Panathinaikos · 1.2 pts / match - Larissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Panathinaikos is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Panathinaikos · 0.94 goals / match - Larissa
Panathinaikos is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Panathinaikos · 1.56 goals / match - Larissa
Panathinaikos scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Larissa scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Panathinaikos
Over / Under — Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Panathinaikos is 136% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Panathinaikos · 0.69 pts / match - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panathinaikos
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Panathinaikos | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Panathinaikos 0 - 1 - 0 Larissa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished Panathinaikos 1:1 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
Panathinaikos score 1.47 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.94. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Panathinaikos's matches and 61% of Larissa's.
What form are Panathinaikos and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games Panathinaikos have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Larissa 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panathinaikos vs Larissa?
The statistical background for Panathinaikos vs Larissa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.