PAOK vs AEK Athens: match statistics
PAOK vs AEK Athens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK play AEK Athens in Super League (Greece). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
PAOK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. AEK Athens: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK scores 1.84 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. AEK Athens scores 1.78 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK 44%, AEK Athens 38%. Over 2.5: PAOK 56%, AEK Athens 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.55. PAOK: 13.2 shots per match, AEK Athens: 15.0.
Match halves
PAOK: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.91. AEK Athens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
PAOK: 31-45+ (11 goals). AEK Athens: 61-75 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
PAOK has a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they win 80% of matches, score an average of 2.00 goals per game and concede only 0.27 goals, with 73% clean sheets and a positive home goal difference of +26. In attack the hosts generate on average 14.67 shots and 5.53 on target per match with a 14% conversion rate and average xG 1.74, while AEK away records 13.73 shots, 4.27 on target, 12% conversion and xG 1.57. AEK are league leaders and in the last 5 matches have a 3-1-1 record (2.0 points per game), scoring 8 goals (1.6 per game) and conceding 5 (1.0 per game), whereas PAOK in the last 5 are 1-2-2 (6 scored, 8 conceded; 1.0 point per game). Considering the significantly lower xG conceded by PAOK at home (0.71 vs 1.09) and superior efficiency and number of shots on target (5.53 vs 4.27), I favor the hosts, although AEK’s better form increases the risk of a draw. Therefore I tip a PAOK victory, while a close scoreline, draw or a narrow away win cannot be ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Athens is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - PAOK · 1.8 pts / match - AEK Athens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - PAOK · 0.63 goals / match - AEK Athens
PAOK scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 56% (18 of 32 matches).
AEK Athens scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — PAOK
Over / Under — AEK Athens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - PAOK · 1.56 pts / match - AEK Athens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK
AEK Athens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): PAOK 1 - 1 - 1 AEK Athens. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The Super League match finished PAOK 1:1 AEK Athens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and AEK Athens?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1, AEK Athens won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs AEK Athens?
PAOK score 1.84 goals per game on average and AEK Athens 1.78. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of PAOK's matches and 38% of AEK Athens's.
What form are PAOK and AEK Athens in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and AEK Athens 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The statistical background for PAOK vs AEK Athens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.