Paphos vs Aris: match statistics
Paphos vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paphos play Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Paphos: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aris: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paphos scores 1.83 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Aris scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paphos 47%, Aris 47%. Over 2.5: Paphos 50%, Aris 58%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.50. Paphos: 11.6 shots per match, Aris: 13.0.
Match halves
Paphos: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.97. Aris: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Paphos: 76-90+ (25 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a Paphos win. At home Paphos averages 2.00 goals scored and concedes only 0.81 per game, has a 56% home win rate, 50% clean sheets and a positive home goal difference of +19. Aris away averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.19 conceded, holds only a 25% away win rate and 31% of away matches without scoring, which limits their chances. Additionally, Paphos generates 1.54 xG at home versus Aris’s 1.44 xG away, boasts a superior conversion rate of 16% compared to 11% and averages 4.56 shots on target per game versus Aris’s 4.31, indicating greater offensive efficiency. In the last 5 matches Paphos scored 8 and conceded 9 (1-2-2), while Aris scored 5 and conceded 6 (2-1-2); despite Aris having a slightly better PPG in the last 5 (1.4 vs 1.0), the home-stat advantage and finishing efficiency give Paphos a clear edge, hence a 60/25/15 split.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Paphos · 0.6 pts / match - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Paphos · 1.69 goals / match - Aris
Paphos is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Paphos · 1.25 goals / match - Aris
Paphos scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Aris scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paphos
Over / Under — Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Paphos · 1.39 pts / match - Aris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paphos
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Paphos 1 - 2 - 0 Aris. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs Aris?
The First Division match finished Paphos 2:0 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and Aris?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paphos won 1, Aris won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs Aris?
Paphos score 1.83 goals per game on average and Aris 1.69. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Paphos's matches and 47% of Aris's.
What form are Paphos and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aris 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs Aris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paphos vs Aris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.