Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905: match statistics

Both teams have a very similar record over their last five matches: Pardubice have collected 7 points and Bohemians 1905 eight, with both recording 2 wins. The hosts are still without a home victory, drawing 33% of their matches and conceding an average of 1.67 goals, but they create plenty of chances: their average xG is 1.83, compared with 1.23 for the visitors away from home. Pardubice’s main problem is finishing, as they score just 0.67 goals per match from 17.33 shots, with a conversion rate of only 4%. Bohemians are more clinical in front of goal, averaging 1.25 goals away from home with an 11% conversion rate, but they also allow opponents an xG of 1.83 and concede as many as 2 goals per match. The hosts’ advantage in chance creation and the visitors’ defensive weakness offset Bohemians’ superior finishing, making a draw the most likely outcome.

Recent form favors goals from both sides: Pardubice and Bohemians have both recorded BTTS - Yes in 60% of their last 5 matches. During this period, the hosts scored and conceded 1.2 goals per game, while the visitors averaged 1.6 goals scored, indicating a realistic possibility of both teams finding the net. Pardubice generate an average of 1.87 xG at home and register 5.0 shots on target, while the Bohemians defense allows opponents 1.83 xG and concedes an average of 2.0 goals away from home. The main argument against this selection is the hosts’ very solid defense, with Pardubice keeping a clean sheet in 67% of home matches and conceding only 0.33 goals per game. However, the visitors’ current attacking form is clearly better than this historical trend suggests. BTTS - Yes is therefore slightly more likely, primarily due to Pardubice’s high chance of scoring and Bohemians’ strong recent finishing.

Pardubice create chances worth an average of 1.87 xG at home and take 15.67 shots per match, while Bohemians allow opponents 1.83 xG away from home and concede an average of 2.00 goals. The visitors also have a strong case to score, having averaged 1.6 goals in their last five matches, while Pardubice conceded 1.2 over the same period. In the teams’ last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 60% of cases, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Caution regarding higher lines is warranted because Pardubice have not yet played a match with over 2.5 goals in their current home sample and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches. However, Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest option, as Bohemians recorded at least two total goals in 100% of their away matches, while the hosts’ attacking quality clearly exceeds the opponent’s defensive strength.

Pardubice have a clear edge in the quality of chances: their average xG is 1.87, while Bohemians average 1.23 xG, and the visitors allow opponents to generate 1.83 xG. The hosts have conceded just 0.33 goals per match so far and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games, compared with Bohemians’ average of 2.0 goals conceded. In their last five matches, Pardubice led at the break in 60% of cases, scoring 0.8 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.2, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals in that period. The hosts also remain difficult to break down after the interval, having conceded no goals in the second half of their matches so far, while Bohemians have lost the second half in 50% of their games. The HT/FT scenario in which Pardubice lead at half-time and go on to win is therefore the strongest supported outcome, backed by both the hosts’ defensive strength and the visitors’ defensive weakness.