Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durrës: match statistics

Teuta Durrës come into this match in better current form: they have collected 7 points from their last five games, recording 2 wins and a draw, while Partizani Tirana have managed just 4 points. Both teams scored 5 goals during this period, but the visitors conceded 6, compared with 10 for the hosts, meaning Partizani have allowed an average of 2.0 goals per match. Partizani have lost 3 of their last 5 games, whereas Teuta have suffered 2 defeats and are now on a two-match winning streak. The lack of complete season data on home and away performances limits the extent of the advantage, but Teuta’s clearly stronger defense and current momentum favor an away win. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams showed identical attacking efficiency across their last five appearances.

The available form from the last 5 matches gives a moderate edge to the scenario in which both sides score: Partizani’s matches ended with BTTS in 80% of cases, compared with 40% for Teuta. Both teams averaged 1.0 goal per match during this period, while their creative potential is similar, with xG of 1.46 for Partizani and 1.48 for Teuta. However, the hosts conceded as many as 2.0 goals per match, meaning Teuta should have good opportunities to exploit their clear defensive problems. The risk to this pick is Teuta’s more solid defense, which allowed opponents just 0.88 xG, but Partizani’s high number of goals conceded slightly tilts the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.

The available data from the last 5 matches indicate that Partizani averaged 1.0 goal, while Teuta also averaged 1.0, limiting the match’s baseline scoring potential. However, the hosts conceded 2.0 goals per game, compared with just 1.2 for Teuta, which is why a greater share of the goal projection has been assigned to the visitors. Teuta allowed an average of only 0.88 xG, despite recording 1.48 xG themselves; this suggests a controlled match profile and makes a four-goal scenario less likely. Over 2.5 goals was landed in only 20% of Teuta’s last matches, and when this defensive trend is combined with an expected total of 2.35 goals, there is a clear edge towards Under 3.5 goals.

Partizani have the clearer potential to make a strong start: they have averaged 1.0 goals before half-time in their last five matches, compared with just 0.2 for Teuta. The hosts led at the break in 40% of those games, while Teuta did so on none of the occasions; moreover, the visitors failed to score before half-time in 80% of their matches. After the interval, however, the form picture changes significantly, with Partizani averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, whereas Teuta have averaged 0.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. Teuta won the second half in 60% of their last matches and averaged 1.8 points during those periods, compared with just 0.2 points for Partizani. In addition, the hosts lost 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors won 40%, making a Partizani lead at half-time followed by a Teuta turnaround after the break the most likely scenario.