PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: match statistics
PEC Zwolle exhibits solid form at their home ground with a 46% win rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches. The hosts have remained unbeaten in their last five fixtures at home, registering four draws and one defeat, which points to defensive stability. NAC Breda has very poor away results – just 8% wins, 62% losses, and a disastrous goal difference of -17. The visitors fail to score in 54% of away matches, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per game. NAC's recent form (WWLDL) might be misleading, as the two wins likely occurred in home fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.16 vs 1.34), with PEC boasting a better chance conversion rate (12% vs 6%). Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' terrible away form, a PEC Zwolle victory is the most likely scenario.
PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PEC Zwolle played against NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
PEC Zwolle has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. NAC Breda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
PEC Zwolle scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.93. NAC Breda scores 1.04 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of PEC Zwolle's games and 48% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 56%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.12 per game. PEC Zwolle takes 9.6 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
PEC Zwolle leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
PEC Zwolle's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PEC Zwolle exhibits solid form at their home ground with a 46% win rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches. The hosts have remained unbeaten in their last five fixtures at home, registering four draws and one defeat, which points to defensive stability. NAC Breda has very poor away results – just 8% wins, 62% losses, and a disastrous goal difference of -17. The visitors fail to score in 54% of away matches, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per game. NAC's recent form (WWLDL) might be misleading, as the two wins likely occurred in home fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.16 vs 1.34), with PEC boasting a better chance conversion rate (12% vs 6%). Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' terrible away form, a PEC Zwolle victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NAC Breda is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - PEC Zwolle · 1.4 pts / game - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PEC Zwolle is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - PEC Zwolle · 1.04 goals / game - NAC Breda
NAC Breda is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.93 goals / game - PEC Zwolle · 1.78 goals / game - NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 meczów), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PEC Zwolle is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - PEC Zwolle · 0.96 pts / game - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 26%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 19%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PEC Zwolle | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.26 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 19% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PEC Zwolle's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against NAC Breda. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 2:1 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
PEC Zwolle score 1.33 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.04. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 70% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 48% of NAC Breda's.
What form are PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.