Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pergolettese played against Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Voltini. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Pergolettese has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Athletic Carpi has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Pergolettese scores 0.38 goals per game and allows 0.63. Athletic Carpi scores 1.25 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 13% of Pergolettese's games and 63% of Athletic Carpi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 75%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Carpi has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.25 per game. Pergolettese takes 11.0 shots per game, while Athletic Carpi takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Pergolettese leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pergolettese's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Athletic Carpi, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw looks the most likely outcome, as Pergolettese have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and have shared the points in 67% of their home games. The hosts are yet to score at home and average just 2 shots on target there, although their xG of 1.16 suggests they are creating chances. Athletic Carpi have greater attacking potential away from home, averaging 1 goal and an xG of 1.57, but have not won any of their last 5 matches. Pergolettese have the defensive edge, conceding an average of 0.33 goals at home, while Carpi have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 outings. The hosts' poor finishing and the visitors' better chance creation offset these advantages, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is supported by BTTS landing in 75% of Pergolettese matches and 50% of Athletic Carpi matches, although the sample for the hosts is small. Pergolettese average 1.34 xG, while their opponents concede 1.84 xG; Carpi record 1.57 xG, while the hosts concede 1.93 xG. In addition, Carpi have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of Pergolettese finding the net. However, caution is warranted: the hosts have recently scored just 0.6 goals per match and conceded 0.4, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pergolettese score an average of 1.5 goals, while Athletic Carpi concede 1.75; in addition, the hosts’ xG is 1.34, compared with the 1.84 xG allowed by the visitors. Carpi, meanwhile, create chances worth 1.57 xG, while Pergolettese concede 1.93 xG, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The 1.5-goal line has been exceeded in 100% of the hosts’ matches considered and 75% of the visitors’ matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Confidence is tempered by Pergolettese’s form over their last 5 matches, which have averaged just 1 goal, although Carpi’s matches during the same period averaged 3.2 goals. The forecast of 2.75 goals points to a clearer edge for Over 1.5 than Over 2.5, particularly against the league average of 2.28 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Pergolettese were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and failed to score before half-time in 4 of them. The hosts’ recent form points towards a home win — they have avoided defeat in all 5 matches and averaged 1.4 points per game, while Athletic Carpi lost 3 times and averaged 0.4 points. The visitors conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game over this period, including 1.2 after the break, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will settle the match in the second half. However, X/1 remains a moderate selection, as Pergolettese drew 4 of their last 5 matches and scored just 0.6 goals per game on average.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pergolettese | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pergolettese is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Pergolettese · 0.4 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 229% better for: goals scored per game.
0.38 goals / game - Pergolettese · 1.25 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Pergolettese is 238% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.63 goals / game - Pergolettese · 2.13 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Pergolettese scores in 25% of games (2 of 8 games), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
Athletic Carpi scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pergolettese
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Carpi is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Pergolettese · 1.63 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pergolettese
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pergolettese | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.00 | 2.28 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 13% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 48% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 33% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 38% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pergolettese 2:1 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
Pergolettese score 0.38 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.25. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 13% of Pergolettese's matches and 63% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Pergolettese and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Pergolettese have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
The statistical background for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.