Pergolettese vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Pergolettese holds a clear advantage over Pro Patria in the context of home matches. The hosts win 31% of their home games and have a positive xG differential (1.41 to 1.37), indicating superior chance creation. Pro Patria perform very poorly in away matches – with only a 6% win rate, 69% losses, and a dreadful goal difference (-15). The visitors concede an average of 1.63 goals per away game while scoring only 0.69, which, given the hosts' effectiveness, should result in a home victory. Recent form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG for Pergolettese compared to 0.6 PPG for Pro Patria) further confirms the home side's superiority. However, the visitors' high draw percentage (25%) and Pergolettese's poor scoring efficiency at home (50% FTS%) justify a significant probability of a points share.
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pergolettese play Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pergolettese: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Pro Patria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pergolettese scores 0.97 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Pro Patria scores 0.89 and concedes 1.84. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pergolettese 47%, Pro Patria 53%. Over 2.5: Pergolettese 45%, Pro Patria 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Pergolettese has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.23. Pergolettese: 10.6 shots per match, Pro Patria: 9.5.
Match halves
Pergolettese: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47. Pro Patria: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Pergolettese: 76-90+ (11 goals). Pro Patria: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Pergolettese holds a clear advantage over Pro Patria in the context of home matches. The hosts win 31% of their home games and have a positive xG differential (1.41 to 1.37), indicating superior chance creation. Pro Patria perform very poorly in away matches – with only a 6% win rate, 69% losses, and a dreadful goal difference (-15). The visitors concede an average of 1.63 goals per away game while scoring only 0.69, which, given the hosts' effectiveness, should result in a home victory. Recent form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG for Pergolettese compared to 0.6 PPG for Pro Patria) further confirms the home side's superiority. However, the visitors' high draw percentage (25%) and Pergolettese's poor scoring efficiency at home (50% FTS%) justify a significant probability of a points share.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pergolettese | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pergolettese · 0.8 pts / match - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pergolettese is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Pergolettese · 0.89 goals / match - Pro Patria
Pergolettese is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Pergolettese · 1.84 goals / match - Pro Patria
Pergolettese scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Pro Patria scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pergolettese
Over / Under — Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pergolettese is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Pergolettese · 0.76 pts / match - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pergolettese
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pergolettese | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pergolettese 0 - 0 - 1 Pro Patria. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pergolettese 2:1 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Pergolettese score 0.97 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Pergolettese's matches and 53% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Pergolettese and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Pergolettese have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pro Patria 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
The statistical background for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.