Indonesia - Liga 1Stadion Gelora Bung TomoData current as of October 22, 2026

Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Persebaya Surabaya plays Madura United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game is scheduled for October 26, 2026. Venue: Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo.

Recent form

Persebaya Surabaya has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Madura United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.80. Madura United scores 2.00 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Persebaya Surabaya's games and 60% of Madura United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 60%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Persebaya Surabaya has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.60 per game. Persebaya Surabaya takes 15.2 shots per game, while Madura United takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Persebaya Surabaya leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Madura United leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Persebaya Surabaya's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Madura United, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 1 games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
1.2Goals scored / game2
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.8Goals allowed / game1.4
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
55%Average possession47%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
5.6Shots on target / game4.6
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.2Shots per game13.4
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
5.6Shots on target4.6
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
7.9%Shot conversion14.9%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
55%Possession47%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
1.73xG for1.6
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.95xG against1.65
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

Shooting quality

Persebaya Surabaya: DominantMadura United: Counter-attacking
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Madura United is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 2 pts / game - Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W60% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
WDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Madura United
WWWLD
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Madura United is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1.2 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 2 goals / game - Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.4 goals / game - Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya scoring profile: very strong

Persebaya Surabaya scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Madura United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Madura United scoring profile: strong

Madura United scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

6Goals scored (season)10
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
4Goals conceded (season)7
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
2Average goals per game3.4
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
20%2 goals80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%3 goals40%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%4 goals0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
20%2 goals40%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%3 goals20%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%4 goals0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
20%Scored in both halves20%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Persebaya Surabaya is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 0.8 pts / game - Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Madura United - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)0.8
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.8Average goals (1st half)1
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
80%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
40%No goal before half-time80%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)2.6
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.8
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
1.2Average goals (2nd half)2.4
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United
40%No goal after half-time20%
Persebaya SurabayaMadura United

Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Madura United - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Persebaya Surabaya - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Madura United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.21.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.02.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Persebaya Surabaya
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Madura United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Persebaya Surabaya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Madura United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.6
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).

Teams vs league

Persebaya SurabayaLigaMadura United
Average goals per game▼ 2.003.06▲ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 60%62%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%58%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▲ 40%19%• 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%70%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+55%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
34%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Persebaya Surabaya's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Madura United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United play?

Persebaya Surabaya face Madura United on October 26, 2026 in Liga 1 at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Persebaya Surabaya won 1, Madura United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?

Persebaya Surabaya score 1.20 goals per game on average and Madura United 2.00. The Liga 1 average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Persebaya Surabaya's matches and 60% of Madura United's.

What form are Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United in?

Over the last 5 games Persebaya Surabaya have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Madura United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?

The statistical background for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.