Picerno vs Crotone: match statistics
Crotone are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games compared to just 1.6 points for Picerno. The visitors have won four of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while the hosts are inconsistent with a ddwlw form. Picerno have a negative goal difference at home (-3) and only a 17% win rate in home matches, indicating serious issues. Crotone have a 38% win rate in away matches, averaging 1.62 goals per game and a positive goal difference (+6). A higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%) and better xG statistics (1.52 vs 1.30) further support the visitors. Considering all the data, Crotone have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
Picerno vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Picerno played against Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Picerno has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Crotone has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Picerno scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.62. Crotone scores 1.42 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Picerno's games and 35% of Crotone's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 42%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Crotone has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.14 per game. Picerno takes 9.0 shots per game, while Crotone takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Picerno leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Crotone leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Picerno's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). For Crotone, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group C games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crotone are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games compared to just 1.6 points for Picerno. The visitors have won four of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while the hosts are inconsistent with a ddwlw form. Picerno have a negative goal difference at home (-3) and only a 17% win rate in home matches, indicating serious issues. Crotone have a 38% win rate in away matches, averaging 1.62 goals per game and a positive goal difference (+6). A higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%) and better xG statistics (1.52 vs 1.30) further support the visitors. Considering all the data, Crotone have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Crotone is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Picerno · 2.6 pts / game - Crotone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - Picerno · 1.42 goals / game - Crotone
Crotone is 84% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.62 goals / game - Picerno · 0.88 goals / game - Crotone
Picerno scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 meczów).
Crotone scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Crotone
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Picerno · 1.62 pts / game - Crotone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Picerno
Crotone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.77 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Picerno's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Crotone. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Crotone?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 3:1 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Crotone?
Picerno score 1.15 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Picerno's matches and 35% of Crotone's.
What form are Picerno and Crotone in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Crotone 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Crotone?
The statistical background for Picerno vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.