Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Comunale Mimmo PavoneData current as of November 11, 2026

Pineto vs Grosseto: match statistics

Pineto crest
Pineto
0 : 4half-time 0:3
Grosseto crest
Grosseto

Pineto vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pineto played against Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on September 26, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone. Final score: 0:4.

Recent form

Pineto has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Grosseto has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Pineto scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Grosseto scores 1.50 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Pineto's games and 50% of Grosseto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grosseto has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.63 per game. Pineto takes 13.8 shots per game, while Grosseto takes 16.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Pineto leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Grosseto leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pineto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Grosseto, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

A closely contested match is expected, as both teams average 1 goal per game in their respective settings, while the average total number of goals stands at 1.67 for Pineto at home and 1.50 for Grosseto away. Pineto remains unbeaten in front of its home supporters, although as many as 67% of its home matches have ended in draws; Grosseto have also avoided defeat away from home, with 50% of their matches finishing level. The hosts produce slightly more shots on target, averaging 7.33 compared with 5, and also have a marginally higher xG, 2.12 versus 2.08, but convert just 6% of their shots. Pineto’s defense looks more solid in terms of the quality of chances conceded, with opponents averaging 0.77 xG compared with 1.90 against Grosseto, while the visitors have actually conceded only 0.50 goals per away match. Grosseto have the better record over the last five rounds, averaging 1.6 points per game compared with 1.2, but both teams’ strong tendency to draw points towards a stalemate.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate this season, slightly below the league average of 56%, and each has kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches. Grosseto concede only 0.50 goals per game on average, while Pineto concede 0.75, which clearly supports a scenario in which at least one side fails to score. The hosts have not yet recorded a game without scoring, but Grosseto have failed to find the net in 50% of their appearances and have a very low 5% finishing rate despite averaging 19 shots. Pineto’s last five matches produced BTTS in 80% of cases, whereas Grosseto recorded BTTS in only 40%, with both teams conceding 1.2 goals per game during this period. Grosseto’s defensive edge and inconsistent attacking efficiency marginally support BTTS - No.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Pineto score an average of 1.75 goals at home and concede just 0.75, while Grosseto average 1.00 goal scored and 0.50 conceded away from home. The hosts have an xG of 1.71, whereas the visitors generate a high 2.08 xG, although their shot conversion rate is only 5%, compared with 12% for Pineto. In their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.2 goals, allowing for a scoreline in the region of 2–3 goals, but not suggesting an open, high-scoring game with four goals. The Under 3.5 goals line is strongly supported by the season results: it has landed in 75% of Pineto’s matches and in all of Grosseto’s matches so far. Therefore, the most likely scenario is a maximum of three goals in the match.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time and after the final whistle is the most likely outcome, as Pineto have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, while Grosseto have drawn 2 of 5. In their last five games, the hosts were level at the break in 80% of cases, scoring just 0.4 goals before half-time, whereas Grosseto averaged 0.8 goals during this phase. Both defenses look solid: Pineto concede an average of 0.75 goals at home, while Grosseto concede just 0.5 goals away, with both teams keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The visitors have greater attacking potential in terms of xG, 2.08 compared with the hosts’ 1.71, but Pineto average 6.25 shots on target per match and have a conversion rate of 12%, compared with 5% for their opponents. These figures point to an evenly matched and rather cautious game in which neither side should establish a clear advantage.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 3
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
PinetoGrosseto
3Shots13
PinetoGrosseto
1Shots on target6
PinetoGrosseto
0.65xG1.57
PinetoGrosseto
3Corners1
PinetoGrosseto
51Dangerous attacks44
PinetoGrosseto
15Fouls12
PinetoGrosseto
3Cards2
PinetoGrosseto

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.5
PinetoGrosseto
1Goals allowed / game0.67
PinetoGrosseto
52%Average possession55%
PinetoGrosseto
5.5Shots on target / game5.83
PinetoGrosseto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.83Shots per game16.17
PinetoGrosseto
5.5Shots on target5.83
PinetoGrosseto
7.2%Shot conversion9.3%
PinetoGrosseto
52%Possession55%
PinetoGrosseto
1.63xG for1.83
PinetoGrosseto
1.12xG against1.47
PinetoGrosseto

Shooting quality

Pineto: BalancedGrosseto: Dominant
PinetoGrosseto
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.180.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grosseto is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Pineto · 2.2 pts / game - Grosseto

Pineto
DLWDD
Season result split
17% W67% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-1
1.17 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Grosseto
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grosseto is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Pineto · 1.5 goals / game - Grosseto

Grosseto is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Pineto · 0.67 goals / game - Grosseto

Pineto scoring profile: mixed

Pineto scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

Grosseto scoring profile: very strong

Grosseto scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

6Goals scored (season)9
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals conceded (season)4
PinetoGrosseto
2Average goals per game2.17
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals scored (last 5)8
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
PinetoGrosseto

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
PinetoGrosseto
33%2 goals67%
PinetoGrosseto
0%3 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
PinetoGrosseto
33%2 goals17%
PinetoGrosseto
0%3 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Scored in both halves50%
PinetoGrosseto

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PinetoGrosseto
80%BTTS - last 540%
PinetoGrosseto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grosseto is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / game - Pineto · 2.17 pts / game - Grosseto

Pineto - half-time state
0% leading83% draw17% trailing
Grosseto - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per game (1st half)2.17
PinetoGrosseto
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.83
PinetoGrosseto
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
PinetoGrosseto
1Average goals (1st half)1
PinetoGrosseto
50%Clean sheet before half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
67%No goal before half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.83
PinetoGrosseto
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
PinetoGrosseto
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PinetoGrosseto
1Average goals (2nd half)1.17
PinetoGrosseto
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
PinetoGrosseto
67%No goal after half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto

Pineto - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grosseto - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pineto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grosseto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pineto
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Grosseto
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pineto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Grosseto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PinetoLigaGrosseto
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.57▼ 2.17
Both teams scored▲ 67%57%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%47%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%72%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%75%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GrossetoGoalMatteo Mannelli
  2. GrossetoGoalLorenzo Andreoli
  3. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Alberto MontiniOff: Enea Pitti
  4. PinetoYellow cardSimone Ienco
  5. GrossetoGoalMattia Gaddini
  6. PinetoYellow cardAlessandro Pellegrino
  7. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Marco FioraniOff: Mattia Damiani
  8. GrossetoGoalFrancesco Fabri
  9. GrossetoYellow cardMattia Gaddini
  10. PinetoYellow cardGianluca Germinario
  11. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Pietro FioriniOff: Mattia Gaddini
  12. GrossetoYellow cardPietro Fiorini

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Pineto vs Grosseto?

The Serie C Group B match finished Pineto 0:4 Grosseto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Grosseto?

Pineto score 1.00 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.50. The Serie C Group B average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Pineto's matches and 50% of Grosseto's.

What form are Pineto and Grosseto in?

Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Grosseto 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Grosseto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.