Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Piratas played against Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Piratas has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Piratas scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.00. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.80 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Piratas's games and 40% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Piratas has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.36 per game. Piratas takes 15.8 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Piratas leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Piratas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Piratas have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Atlético Zacatepec have lost 4 of their 5 away games, clearly tipping the balance in the hosts’ favor. At home, Piratas average 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, whereas the visitors manage just 0.8 goals per game away from home and concede 2.4. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.97, compared with 1.14 for Atlético away, while their xG conceded is 0.75 and 1.78, respectively. Piratas average 7 shots on target per home match, more than twice Atlético’s 3.2 away from home. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 8 goals and won twice, while the visitors have scored 4 and lost 3. As a result, a Piratas win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches this season, below the league average of 56%. The biggest obstacle to goals at both ends is Atlético Zacatepec’s attack: the visitors average 0.8 goals and failed to score in 40% of their matches. Piratas have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games and limit opponents to chances worth an average of 0.93 xG, further reducing the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.64 compared with 1.14 for their opponents, while Atlético concede an average of 2.4 goals. However, a Piratas goal alone would not be enough for BTTS - Yes. Although both sides have scored in 80% and 60% of their respective teams’ last five matches, the visitors’ lower scoring output supports a BTTS - No pick: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: 80% of both teams’ matches finished with no more than three goals. Piratas pose a greater attacking threat, averaging 1.64 xG compared with Atlético Zacatepec’s 1.14 xG, while the visitors concede an average of 2.4 goals per match. At the same time, both teams average just 0.8 goals scored per game this season, limiting the likelihood of a very high-scoring game despite the visitors’ defensive weaknesses. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored, while the visitors conceded 2.2, making two Piratas goals a realistic prospect; however, the projected total of 2.60 goals still supports the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Piratas were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 60% for Atlético Zacatepec. The visitors did not score before half-time in any of the five matches covered by the statistics, while the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals in that period, strengthening the case for a goalless first half. After the break, the advantage should shift to Piratas, as Atlético concede an average of 1.8 goals in second halves and lost 80% of their matches overall. The hosts also post a higher average xG, reflecting the quality of chances created—1.64 compared with their opponents’ 1.14—and take 15 shots per match versus 9.8. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Piratas win at full-time is a stronger signal than the hosts leading at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Piratas | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Piratas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Piratas · 0.8 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piratas is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Piratas · 0.8 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Piratas is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Piratas · 1.8 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Piratas scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piratas
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Piratas is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / game - Piratas · 0.8 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piratas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Piratas
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Piratas | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.20 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético ZacatepecSubstitutionOn: Diego Emmanuel Martinez RodriguezOff: Andrey Marcos Andrade Pereira
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Piratas 4:0 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Piratas score 1.20 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.80. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Piratas's matches and 40% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Piratas and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The statistical background for Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.