Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of October 17, 2026

Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Piratas plays Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026.

Recent form

Piratas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Piratas scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.17. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.83 and allows 2.83. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Piratas's games and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Piratas has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.34 per game. Piratas takes 16.4 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Piratas leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.42 after halftime.

When the teams score

Piratas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.21)
(6.30)
(12.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.5Goals scored / game0.83
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.17Goals allowed / game2.83
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
57%Average possession36%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
6.08Shots on target / game3.83
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.42Shots per game11.5
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
6.08Shots on target3.83
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
9.1%Shot conversion7.2%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
57%Possession36%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.87xG for1.34
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.02xG against2.14
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

Shooting quality

Piratas: DominantTepatitlán de Morelos: Balanced
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Piratas is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Piratas · 0.8 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Piratas
DWLWL
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLWDL
Season result split
17% W8% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-9
0.58 pts / game · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-5
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 2.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Piratas is 81% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Piratas · 0.83 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Piratas is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - Piratas · 2.83 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Piratas scoring profile: very strong

Piratas scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 games).

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: mixed

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 games), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).

18Goals scored (season)10
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
14Goals conceded (season)34
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
2.67Average goals per game3.67
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
9Goals scored (last 5)5
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
42%2 goals17%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
25%3 goals17%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
17%4 goals0%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
25%2 goals58%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
17%3 goals50%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
8%4 goals42%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 12 games
59%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time17%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
25%Scored in both halves8%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
60%BTTS - last 560%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Piratas is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / game - Piratas · 1.08 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Piratas - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing
Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per game (1st half)1.08
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.42
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.92
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.33
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
50%Clean sheet before half-time58%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
50%No goal before half-time58%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)0.33
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.92
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
1.42Average goals (2nd half)2.33
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Clean sheet after half-time0%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos
58%No goal after half-time83%
PiratasTepatitlán de Morelos

Piratas - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

8% W8% D83% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Piratas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Piratas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
6
46-60
1
4
61-75
0
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Piratas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

PiratasLigaTepatitlán de Morelos
Average goals per game▼ 2.673.26▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 42%59%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%61%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 75%74%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 58%81%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?

Piratas face Tepatitlán de Morelos on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Piratas score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Piratas's matches and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.

What form are Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?

Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The statistical background for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.