Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Piratas plays Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026.
Recent form
Piratas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Piratas scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.17. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.83 and allows 2.83. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Piratas's games and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Piratas has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.34 per game. Piratas takes 16.4 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Piratas leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Piratas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Piratas | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Piratas is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Piratas · 0.8 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piratas is 81% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Piratas · 0.83 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Piratas is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Piratas · 2.83 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Piratas scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 games).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 games), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piratas
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Piratas is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Piratas · 1.08 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piratas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Piratas
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Piratas | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?
Piratas face Tepatitlán de Morelos on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Piratas score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Piratas's matches and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.
What form are Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?
Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The statistical background for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


