Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, which is confirmed by their close league positions (5th place for Pogoń vs 4th place for Polonia) and identical average ball possession (48%). Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and no home defeats, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per match. However, Polonia Warszawa has better current form (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1.2 for Pogoń) and a 50% away win rate. A key factor is that Pogoń has recently been struggling with efficiency (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches), whereas Polonia scored 10 goals in the same period. Considering the high draw rate for Pogoń at home (50%) and Polonia on the road (42%), along with the balanced offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played against Polonia Warszawa in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Polonia Warszawa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.38. Polonia Warszawa scores 1.63 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's games and 75% of Polonia Warszawa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 58%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.67 per game. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki takes 14.4 shots per game, while Polonia Warszawa takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Polonia Warszawa leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Polonia Warszawa, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, which is confirmed by their close league positions (5th place for Pogoń vs 4th place for Polonia) and identical average ball possession (48%). Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and no home defeats, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per match. However, Polonia Warszawa has better current form (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1.2 for Pogoń) and a 50% away win rate. A key factor is that Pogoń has recently been struggling with efficiency (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches), whereas Polonia scored 10 goals in the same period. Considering the high draw rate for Pogoń at home (50%) and Polonia on the road (42%), along with the balanced offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polonia Warszawa is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 2 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.63 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Warszawa is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.58 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Liga | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.08 | 2.99 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Polonia Warszawa. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3:2 Polonia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.71 goals per game on average and Polonia Warszawa 1.63. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's matches and 75% of Polonia Warszawa's.
What form are Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Polonia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Polonia Warszawa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.