Polessya vs Hirnyk: match statistics
Polessya demonstrate impressive form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 loss) and earn an average of 2.4 points per game, making them the favorites for this fixture. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5) and high efficiency with a 60% clean sheet rate in home matches. Hirnyk, despite a solid unbeaten streak in their last five games, have a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and concede an average of 1.6 goals on the road. The xG statistics also lean in Polessya's favor (1.42 vs 1.17), suggesting their superiority in creating scoring chances. Taking into account the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and better goal-scoring form in recent matches (13 goals vs 7), I expect a victory for Polessya, although Hirnyk's defensive solidity could make it a closely fought match with a possibility of a draw.
Polessya vs Hirnyk: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Polessya played against Hirnyk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Polessya has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Hirnyk has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Polessya scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 0.74. Hirnyk scores 1.63 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 26% of Polessya's games and 58% of Hirnyk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 63%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polessya has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.37 per game. Polessya takes 12.2 shots per game, while Hirnyk takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Polessya leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Hirnyk leads at halftime in 53% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Polessya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Hirnyk, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polessya demonstrate impressive form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 loss) and earn an average of 2.4 points per game, making them the favorites for this fixture. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5) and high efficiency with a 60% clean sheet rate in home matches. Hirnyk, despite a solid unbeaten streak in their last five games, have a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and concede an average of 1.6 goals on the road. The xG statistics also lean in Polessya's favor (1.42 vs 1.17), suggesting their superiority in creating scoring chances. Taking into account the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and better goal-scoring form in recent matches (13 goals vs 7), I expect a victory for Polessya, although Hirnyk's defensive solidity could make it a closely fought match with a possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Polessya | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Polessya · 1.32 goals / game - Hirnyk
Polessya scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Hirnyk scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polessya
Over / Under - Hirnyk
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hirnyk is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / game - Polessya · 1.89 pts / game - Hirnyk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 42%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Polessya
Hirnyk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Polessya | Liga | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HirnykYellow cardYevgen Mayakov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Polessya's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hirnyk. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 2:0 Hirnyk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Hirnyk?
Polessya score 1.68 goals per game on average and Hirnyk 1.63. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Polessya's matches and 58% of Hirnyk's.
What form are Polessya and Hirnyk in?
Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hirnyk 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The statistical background for Polessya vs Hirnyk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.