Ukraine - Ukrainian Premier LeagueTsentralnyi StadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Polessya vs Zorya: match statistics

Polessya crest
Polessya
1 : 2half-time 1:0
Zorya crest
Zorya

Polessya vs Zorya: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Polessya played against Zorya in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on August 17, 2026. Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Polessya has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Zorya has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Polessya scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Zorya scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Polessya's games and 50% of Zorya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Zorya has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.51 per game. Polessya takes 11.5 shots per game, while Zorya takes 18.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Polessya leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Zorya leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Polessya's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Zorya, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Polessya sit higher in the table, in 3rd place compared with Zorya’s 6th, and opened the season with 2 wins from 2 matches and a 5:2 goal difference. The hosts average 3 goals per match at home and have won 100% of their games, while their 5 shots on target from 8 attempts per match point to very high efficiency, although a 38% conversion rate may be difficult to sustain. Zorya have a similar record across their last five outings, with both teams recording 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, but they scored 7 goals in that period compared with Polessya’s 11. Polessya’s defense allows just 0.92 xG at home, which should limit the visitors, who have scored only 3 goals in their two league matches this season. The lack of detailed away data for Zorya increases the uncertainty, but the hosts’ edge in efficiency and results to date makes them the more likely winners.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The latest form clearly points towards goals at both ends: Polessya had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Zorya recorded it in 60%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.4, whereas the visitors scored 1.4 goals and conceded 1.0. Polessya create a high volume of chances, as reflected by their average xG of 2.02 across their last five fixtures, but Zorya also generate a solid 1.79 xG. Although the league-wide BTTS average is only 43%, the current attacking numbers of both teams, combined with the fact that each has conceded at least one goal per match on average, point more strongly towards a Goal/Goal scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Polessya averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while Zorya averaged 1.4, indicating significantly higher potential than the league average of 2.57 goals per game. Both teams have also been creating good chances: their average xG over the last five appearances was 2.02 for Polessya and 1.79 for Zorya. Polessya’s matches went over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five games, compared with 60% for Zorya; at the same time, both teams conceded 1.4 and 1.0 goals per match, respectively. Polessya averages 18.5 shots at home, including 7 on target, making Over 1.5 the most reliable selection, although the Over 2.5 line remains more evenly balanced.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Polessya has a clearly stronger first-half profile: in their last five matches, they were leading at the break in 60% of them, averaging 1.0 goals before half-time, while Zorya scored just 0.2 goals during that period. The hosts also create a high volume of chances, as reflected by averages of 18.5 shots, 7 shots on target, and an xG of 2.06 in the available home data. Zorya were drawing at half-time in 60% of their last five appearances, but failed to score before the interval in as many as 80% of those matches. Polessya have won 3 of their last 5 games and average 2.2 goals per match, compared with Zorya’s 1.4, making a 1/1 HT/FT scenario the most likely outcome, with the hosts leading at the break and maintaining their winning result. However, it should be noted that both teams collected 10 points from their last five matches, which increases the chances of a half-time draw or a later turnaround by the visitors.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

65Possession (%)35
PolessyaZorya
13Shots6
PolessyaZorya
2Shots on target3
PolessyaZorya
1.41xG0.77
PolessyaZorya
7Corners4
PolessyaZorya
63Dangerous attacks24
PolessyaZorya
9Fouls4
PolessyaZorya
1Cards1
PolessyaZorya

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.5Goals scored / game1.5
PolessyaZorya
1Goals allowed / game1.5
PolessyaZorya
54%Average possession72%
PolessyaZorya
5.5Shots on target / game7
PolessyaZorya

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.5Shots per game18.5
PolessyaZorya
5.5Shots on target7
PolessyaZorya
21.7%Shot conversion8.1%
PolessyaZorya
54%Possession72%
PolessyaZorya
1.51xG for2.06
PolessyaZorya
0.8xG against0.96
PolessyaZorya

Shooting quality

Polessya: Efficient finishingZorya: Dominant
PolessyaZorya
Accuracy (shots on target)48%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Polessya is 100% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Polessya · 1.5 pts / game - Zorya

Polessya
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Zorya
WL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polessya is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Polessya · 1.5 goals / game - Zorya

Polessya is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Polessya · 1.5 goals / game - Zorya

Polessya scoring profile: very strong

Polessya scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Zorya scoring profile: very strong

Zorya scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

5Goals scored (season)3
PolessyaZorya
2Goals conceded (season)3
PolessyaZorya
3.5Average goals per game3
PolessyaZorya
5Goals scored (last 5)3
PolessyaZorya
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
PolessyaZorya

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
PolessyaZorya
100%2 goals50%
PolessyaZorya
50%3 goals0%
PolessyaZorya
0%4 goals0%
PolessyaZorya

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
PolessyaZorya
0%2 goals50%
PolessyaZorya
0%3 goals50%
PolessyaZorya
0%4 goals0%
PolessyaZorya

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
PolessyaZorya
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PolessyaZorya
100%Scored in both halves0%
PolessyaZorya

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PolessyaZorya
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PolessyaZorya
100%BTTS - last 550%
PolessyaZorya

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PolessyaZorya
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
PolessyaZorya
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PolessyaZorya

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PolessyaZorya
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
PolessyaZorya
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
PolessyaZorya

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polessya - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Zorya - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)2
PolessyaZorya
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PolessyaZorya
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
PolessyaZorya
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.5
PolessyaZorya
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
PolessyaZorya
0%No goal before half-time50%
PolessyaZorya

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per game (2nd half)1.5
PolessyaZorya
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
PolessyaZorya
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
PolessyaZorya
2Average goals (2nd half)2.5
PolessyaZorya
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PolessyaZorya
0%No goal after half-time50%
PolessyaZorya

Polessya - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Zorya - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.5

Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Polessya - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.003.00
Goals scored / game1.01.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.5
Average goals per game1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 2
Zorya - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.50
Goals scored / game0.51.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.5
Average goals per game0.52.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Polessya
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Zorya
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
145%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Polessya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
181%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Zorya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
174%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

PolessyaLigaZorya
Average goals per game▲ 3.502.24▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 100%38%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%48%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%43%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%52%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+60%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PolessyaGoalOleh Fedor
  2. ZoryaSubstitutionOn: Artem MachelyukOff: Vasyl Kravets
  3. PolessyaYellow cardRuslan Babenko
  4. PolessyaSubstitutionOn: Lindon EmërllahuOff: Oleksandr Andrievskyi
  5. PolessyaSubstitutionOn: Oleksandr NazarenkoOff: Vladyslav Veleten
  6. PolessyaSubstitutionOn: Mykola GayduchykOff: Ihor Krasnopir
  7. ZoryaYellow cardIvan Nesterenko

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Polessya's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Zorya. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Polessya vs Zorya?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 1:2 Zorya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Polessya and Zorya?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Polessya won 1, Zorya won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Zorya?

Polessya score 2.50 goals per game on average and Zorya 1.50. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Polessya's matches and 50% of Zorya's.

What form are Polessya and Zorya in?

Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Zorya 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Zorya?

The statistical background for Polessya vs Zorya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.