Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueMandela National StadiumData current as of November 03, 2026

Police Uganda vs Kitara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Police Uganda vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Police Uganda plays Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Venue: Mandela National Stadium.

Recent form

Police Uganda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kitara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Police Uganda scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. Kitara scores 1.20 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Police Uganda's games and 60% of Kitara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 20%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.13 per game. Police Uganda takes 6.4 shots per game, while Kitara takes 7.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Police Uganda leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Kitara leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Police Uganda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Kitara, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Police UgandaKitara
1Goals scored / game1.2
Police UgandaKitara
1.33Goals allowed / game0.6
Police UgandaKitara
46%Average possession50%
Police UgandaKitara
3.89Shots on target / game2.8
Police UgandaKitara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.44Shots per game7.6
Police UgandaKitara
3.89Shots on target2.8
Police UgandaKitara
15.5%Shot conversion15.8%
Police UgandaKitara
46%Possession50%
Police UgandaKitara
1.24xG for1.13
Police UgandaKitara
1.61xG against1.05
Police UgandaKitara

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: Counter-attackingKitara: Efficient finishing
Police UgandaKitara
Accuracy (shots on target)60%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kitara is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Police Uganda · 2.2 pts / game - Kitara

Police Uganda
LLDWW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kitara
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
DDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Police Uganda · 1.2 goals / game - Kitara

Kitara is 122% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Police Uganda · 0.6 goals / game - Kitara

Police Uganda scoring profile: mixed

Police Uganda scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 games), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

Kitara scoring profile: very strong

Kitara scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

9Goals scored (season)6
Police UgandaKitara
12Goals conceded (season)3
Police UgandaKitara
2.33Average goals per game1.8
Police UgandaKitara
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Police UgandaKitara
11Goals conceded (last 5)3
Police UgandaKitara

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal100%
Police UgandaKitara
33%2 goals20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%3 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal60%
Police UgandaKitara
22%2 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
22%3 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
11%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Police UgandaKitara
22%Scored in both halves0%
Police UgandaKitara

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Police UgandaKitara
60%BTTS - last 560%
Police UgandaKitara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Police UgandaKitara
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Police UgandaKitara

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
Police UgandaKitara
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Police Uganda · 1.6 pts / game - Kitara

Police Uganda - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing
Kitara - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.22Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Police UgandaKitara
0.89Average goals (1st half)1
Police UgandaKitara
67%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Police UgandaKitara
78%No goal before half-time40%
Police UgandaKitara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.8
Police UgandaKitara
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
Police UgandaKitara
1.44Average goals (2nd half)0.8
Police UgandaKitara
56%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Police UgandaKitara
44%No goal after half-time60%
Police UgandaKitara

Police Uganda - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kitara - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Police Uganda - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kitara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.07
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaKitara
Average goals per game▲ 2.332.19▼ 1.80
Both teams scored▼ 33%41%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%41%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 44%37%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%61%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%68%▼ 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.19
Average goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Police Uganda's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Kitara. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Police Uganda and Kitara play?

Police Uganda face Kitara on November 3, 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Mandela National Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and Kitara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 0, Kitara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Kitara?

Police Uganda score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.20. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Police Uganda's matches and 60% of Kitara's.

What form are Police Uganda and Kitara in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kitara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.