Police Uganda vs NEC: match statistics
Police Uganda presents an impressive disposition at their home stadium, having won as much as 70% of their matches this season, scoring an average of 1.7 goals while conceding just 0.8 per game. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.73 vs 1.38 NEC) and have a significantly higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%). Although NEC is in good form with 2.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, they win only 30% of their away matches and score an average of just 0.9 goals. The goal difference gap (+9 for Police Uganda at home vs +1 for NEC away) and the hosts' recent home form (7 wins in their last 10 matches) speak in favor of their victory. NEC's high draw percentage on the road (40%) makes sharing the points a realistic scenario as well, albeit less likely than a home win.
Police Uganda vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 63%, NEC 38%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 53%, NEC 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.44. Police Uganda: 10.5 shots per match, NEC: 8.7.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Police Uganda presents an impressive disposition at their home stadium, having won as much as 70% of their matches this season, scoring an average of 1.7 goals while conceding just 0.8 per game. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.73 vs 1.38 NEC) and have a significantly higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%). Although NEC is in good form with 2.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, they win only 30% of their away matches and score an average of just 0.9 goals. The goal difference gap (+9 for Police Uganda at home vs +1 for NEC away) and the hosts' recent home form (7 wins in their last 10 matches) speak in favor of their victory. NEC's high draw percentage on the road (40%) makes sharing the points a realistic scenario as well, albeit less likely than a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.8 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.97 goals / match - NEC
NEC is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.76 goals / match - NEC
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police Uganda
Over / Under — NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.41 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 0 NEC. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 0:1 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs NEC?
Police Uganda score 1.40 goals per game on average and NEC 0.97. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Police Uganda's matches and 38% of NEC's.
What form are Police Uganda and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and NEC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs NEC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Police Uganda vs NEC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.