Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of October 13, 2026

Police Uganda vs SC Villa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Police Uganda vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Police Uganda plays SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for October 14, 2026.

Recent form

Police Uganda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. SC Villa has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Police Uganda scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 0.80. SC Villa scores 1.60 and allows 0.40. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Police Uganda's games and 40% of SC Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 20%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.36 per game. Police Uganda takes 9.0 shots per game, while SC Villa takes 7.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Police Uganda leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. SC Villa leads at halftime in 80% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Police Uganda's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For SC Villa, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Police UgandaSC Villa
0.6Goals scored / game1.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.8Goals allowed / game0.4
Police UgandaSC Villa
50%Average possession46%
Police UgandaSC Villa
4.6Shots on target / game2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9Shots per game7.2
Police UgandaSC Villa
4.6Shots on target2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
6.7%Shot conversion22.2%
Police UgandaSC Villa
50%Possession46%
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.5xG for1.36
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.68xG against1.25
Police UgandaSC Villa

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: BalancedSC Villa: Counter-attacking
Police UgandaSC Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)51%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.62

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

SC Villa is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Police Uganda · 2.2 pts / game - SC Villa

Police Uganda
WLDWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
SC Villa
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 167% better for: goals scored per game.

0.6 goals / game - Police Uganda · 1.6 goals / game - SC Villa

SC Villa is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Police Uganda · 0.4 goals / game - SC Villa

Police Uganda scoring profile: more difficult

Police Uganda scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

SC Villa scoring profile: strong

SC Villa scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

3Goals scored (season)8
Police UgandaSC Villa
4Goals conceded (season)2
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.4Average goals per game2
Police UgandaSC Villa
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Police UgandaSC Villa
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Police UgandaSC Villa

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal100%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%2 goals40%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%3 goals20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal40%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%2 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%3 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Scored in both halves40%
Police UgandaSC Villa

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%BTTS - last 540%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

20%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 225% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - Police Uganda · 2.6 pts / game - SC Villa

Police Uganda - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing
SC Villa - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0Goals scored (1st half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Average goals (1st half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
80%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Police UgandaSC Villa
100%No goal before half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Police UgandaSC Villa
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Police UgandaSC Villa
60%No goal after half-time40%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Police Uganda - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

SC Villa - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 60%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Police Uganda - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.41.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
SC Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
20%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.90
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.88
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaSC Villa
Average goals per game▼ 1.402.05• 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%37%▲ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%40%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 60%38%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 20%56%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%67%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per game
37%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / game
0.84
Away goals / game
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Police Uganda's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against SC Villa. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Police Uganda
1 : 0
SC Villa
SC Villa
2 : 1
Police Uganda

FAQ

When do Police Uganda and SC Villa play?

Police Uganda face SC Villa on October 14, 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and SC Villa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 1, SC Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs SC Villa?

Police Uganda score 0.60 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.60. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Police Uganda's matches and 40% of SC Villa's.

What form are Police Uganda and SC Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and SC Villa 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs SC Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.