Police Uganda vs URA: match statistics
Police Uganda vs URA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda play URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. URA: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. URA scores 0.90 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 63%, URA 40%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 53%, URA 27%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
URA has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. Police Uganda: 10.5 shots per match, URA: 11.0.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. URA: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). URA: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Police Uganda are favorites: they have scored 34 goals this season versus URA's 19, and at home they average 1.55 goals per match with a 64% win rate. At home they also generate more chances and convert them better — on average 12.09 shots and 4.82 on target per game with a conversion of 13%, while URA away average 10.45 shots, 3 on target and only 3% conversion. The visitors have a severe away scoring problem: just 0.27 goals per away game and 73% of away matches without a goal; additionally they have yet to record an away win (0%). Defensively Police concede 0.82 goals at home on average with xG against 1.4, while URA away allow xG against 1.58 with xG for 1.41, which gives the hosts an advantage in chance quality (xG 1.71 vs 1.41). Due to higher xG and better home efficiency I forecast a Police victory, although given URA's high share of away draws a draw remains possible.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | URA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
URA is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.4 pts / match - URA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.9 goals / match - URA
URA is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.97 goals / match - URA
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
URA scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police Uganda
Over / Under — URA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.17 pts / match - URA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
URA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
URA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | URA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 0 URA. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs URA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:1 URA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs URA?
Police Uganda score 1.40 goals per game on average and URA 0.90. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Police Uganda's matches and 40% of URA's.
What form are Police Uganda and URA in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and URA 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs URA?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.