Police vs Gasogi United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police play Gasogi United in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 12 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Police: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Gasogi United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police scores 0.82 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Gasogi United scores 0.85 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police 35%, Gasogi United 41%. Over 2.5: Police 18%, Gasogi United 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Police: 6.1 shots per match, Gasogi United: 5.9.

Match halves

Police: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47. Gasogi United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.

Goals by minute

Police: 76-90+ (8 goals). Gasogi United: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
PoliceGasogi United
3Shots2
PoliceGasogi United
1Shots on target0
PoliceGasogi United
0.74xG0.44
PoliceGasogi United
8Corners3
PoliceGasogi United
64Dangerous attacks39
PoliceGasogi United
20Fouls19
PoliceGasogi United
0Cards0
PoliceGasogi United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PoliceGasogi United
0.82Goals scored / match0.85
PoliceGasogi United
0.56Goals conceded / match1.21
PoliceGasogi United
49%Average possession43%
PoliceGasogi United
2.24Shots on target / match2.21
PoliceGasogi United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.06Shots per match5.88
PoliceGasogi United
2.24Shots on target2.21
PoliceGasogi United
13.6%Shot conversion14.5%
PoliceGasogi United
49%Possession43%
PoliceGasogi United
1.13xG for1.12
PoliceGasogi United
0.93xG against1.18
PoliceGasogi United

Shooting quality

Police: Efficient finishingGasogi United: Counter-attacking
PoliceGasogi United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Police · 0.8 pts / match - Gasogi United

Police
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W44% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-15-7
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Gasogi United
WDLLL
Season result split
24% W35% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-12-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.56 goals / match - Police · 1.21 goals / match - Gasogi United

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Gasogi United scoring profile: mixed

Gasogi United scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).

28Goals scored (season)29
PoliceGasogi United
19Goals conceded (season)41
PoliceGasogi United
1.38Average goals in match2.06
PoliceGasogi United
2Goals scored (last 5)8
PoliceGasogi United
1Goals conceded (last 5)9
PoliceGasogi United

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal53%
PoliceGasogi United
18%2 goals26%
PoliceGasogi United
3%3 goals6%
PoliceGasogi United
3%4 goals0%
PoliceGasogi United

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal74%
PoliceGasogi United
3%2 goals38%
PoliceGasogi United
0%3 goals9%
PoliceGasogi United
0%4 goals0%
PoliceGasogi United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

3%BTTS at half-time15%
PoliceGasogi United
0%BTTS in both halves3%
PoliceGasogi United
18%Scored in both halves12%
PoliceGasogi United

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
PoliceGasogi United
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PoliceGasogi United
20%BTTS - last 580%
PoliceGasogi United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

47%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
PoliceGasogi United
6%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
PoliceGasogi United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
PoliceGasogi United

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
PoliceGasogi United
18%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
PoliceGasogi United
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
PoliceGasogi United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Police · 1.18 pts / match - Gasogi United

Police - half-time state
29% leading56% draw15% trailing
Gasogi United - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.18
PoliceGasogi United
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.44
PoliceGasogi United
0.18Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
PoliceGasogi United
0.53Average goals (1st half)0.97
PoliceGasogi United
82%Clean sheet before half-time62%
PoliceGasogi United
68%No goal before half-time71%
PoliceGasogi United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1
PoliceGasogi United
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
PoliceGasogi United
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
PoliceGasogi United
0.85Average goals (2nd half)1.09
PoliceGasogi United
65%Clean sheet after half-time44%
PoliceGasogi United
56%No goal after half-time65%
PoliceGasogi United

Police - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
49
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gasogi United - second-half results

21% W38% R41% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.20.4
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Gasogi United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Gasogi United
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
3
4
16-30
9
8
31-45
3
8
46-60
5
7
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.72
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Gasogi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

PoliceLigaGasogi United
Average goals in match 1.382.12 2.06
Both teams scored 35%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%38% 35%
Clean sheets 47%34% 26%
Goal before half-time 47%61% 53%
Goal after half-time 65%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Police 1 - 0 - 0 Gasogi United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Police vs Gasogi United?

The National Soccer League match finished Police 1:0 Gasogi United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Gasogi United?

Police score 0.82 goals per game on average and Gasogi United 0.85. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Police's matches and 41% of Gasogi United's.

What form are Police and Gasogi United in?

Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Gasogi United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Gasogi United?

The statistical background for Police vs Gasogi United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.