Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife: match statistics
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ponte Preta played against Sport Recife in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Ponte Preta has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sport Recife has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ponte Preta scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.29. Sport Recife scores 1.14 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Ponte Preta's games and 43% of Sport Recife's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 29%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sport Recife has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.24 per game. Ponte Preta takes 10.4 shots per game, while Sport Recife takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ponte Preta leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Sport Recife leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ponte Preta's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Sport Recife, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.18 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw because both teams display low offensive efficiency — Ponte Preta averages 0.67 goals per home match, while Sport Recife also averages 0.67 goals as visitors. The home side generates more chances (on average 12 shots and 4.33 on target with xG 1.41 in home games) whereas the visitors have 11.67 shots, 1.67 on target and xG 1.11 on the road, giving Ponte Preta a slight advantage in chance quality. Defensively the edge is with the visitors: Sport concedes only 0.33 goals away and keeps a clean sheet in 67% of away matches, and has not yet lost on the road this season (0% losses). Additionally, over the last 5 matches Sport averages 2.0 points versus 1.2 for Ponte Preta, and Sport’s high share of away draws (67%) increases the likelihood of a low-scoring point split. For these reasons I assign probabilities of 35% for the home win, 40% for the draw and 25% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Form and clean sheets favor No BTTS: Sport Recife has 67% clean sheets this season and 0% BTTS in the last 5 matches, while Ponte Preta has only 20% BTTS in their last 5. Seasonal averages show Ponte Preta scoring 1.5 goals with xG 1.58, and Sport Recife scoring 0.67 goals with xG 1.11, but the visitors concede only 0.33 goals seasonally (0.4 on average in the last 5), indicating an effective defense despite conceded xG. Additionally, the league has 61% clean sheets and a seasonal BTTS rate of 51%, with individual seasonal BTTS at 50% (home) and 33% (away), which together suggest under a 50% chance of both teams scoring. Ponte Preta averages more shots (14.25) and 6.75 shots on target with an 11% conversion, so they are the primary candidate to score, whereas Sport Recife limits opponents’ shots on target (only 1.67) and often keeps a clean sheet. As a result I assign a 72% probability to No BTTS and 28% to BTTS - Yes, therefore I recommend a 'No' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimate: home xG is 1.58 while away xG_allowed is 1.46, yielding an expected 1.52 goals for Ponte Preta; conversely Sport Recife attack xG 1.11 vs Ponte Preta defense xG_against 1.35 gives 1.23 for the visitors, total 2.75. Applying a Poisson distribution with λ=2.75 produces probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈76%, Over 2.5 ≈52% and Over 3.5 ≈30%. The hosts average 14.25 shots and 6.75 on target with an 11% conversion, supporting their higher expected goal output; the visitors register only 1.67 shots on target and score 0.67 goals on average this season, though their xG 1.11 indicates some attacking potential. Historically Ponte Preta have 75% of matches with over 1.5 goals, while Sport Recife keep a clean sheet in 67% of games, which suppresses the chances of very high totals (>3.5). Consequently the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (over) at ~76% probability; Over 2.5 is only slightly favored (~52%) and carries greater risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: Ponte Preta did not hold a lead at the break in 4 of 4 of their matches (0% leads at the break, 4 half-time draws), while Sport Recife had a half-time draw in 67% of fixtures, so the signal for a draw at the break is strong. After the break the favorite is Ponte Preta — they average 1.25 goals in the second half and have 100% of matches with at least one second-half goal, which suggests a high chance of a turnaround in their favor after the interval. The home side’s attack looks superior statistically: xG 1.58 versus 1.11 for Sport, 6.75 shots on target vs 1.67 and higher conversion 11% vs 6%, and over the season Ponte Preta collect 2.0 points per match versus 1.67 for the visitors. Considering the dominant draw-at-halftime signal combined with a clear home advantage after the break, the safest HT/FT selection is a draw at half-time and a Ponte Preta win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sport Recife is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ponte Preta · 2.2 pts / game - Sport Recife
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sport Recife is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - Ponte Preta · 1.14 goals / game - Sport Recife
Sport Recife is 126% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Ponte Preta · 0.57 goals / game - Sport Recife
Ponte Preta scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
Sport Recife scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ponte Preta
Over / Under - Sport Recife
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ponte Preta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sport Recife - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ponte Preta | Liga | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.18 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 42% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
The Serie B match finished Ponte Preta 1:3 Sport Recife. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
Ponte Preta score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sport Recife 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ponte Preta's matches and 43% of Sport Recife's.
What form are Ponte Preta and Sport Recife in?
Over the last 5 games Ponte Preta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sport Recife 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
The statistical background for Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.